Sport Picks
Grosseto vs San Donato Tavarnelle
Italy
Serie D - Group E Stadio Carlo Zecchini, Grosseto 
Match Events
9'
9'
Lomangino D.
72'
72'
Ciravegna B.
AI Match Summary
San Donato Tavarnelle in this Serie D - Group E matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Donato Tavarnelle.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
40%
29%
Draw rate projection: 40% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
66%
/ Medium Confidence
- San Donato Tavarnelle haven't matched Grosseto's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 40%.
- Regular Serie D - Group E form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 17%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.4%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 20%
San Donato Tavarnelle Clean Sheet 17%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grosseto | San Donato Tavarnelle |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 18 | 6 |
| Draws | 5 | 12 |
| Losses | 6 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 0.88 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.00 | 0.88 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 26, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:2
Dec 14, 2025 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Grosseto
0:1
Aug 6, 2025 Club Friendly
Grosseto vs San Donato Tavarnelle
2:1
Apr 8, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs San Donato Tavarnelle
0:0
Nov 24, 2024 Serie D - Group E
San Donato Tavarnelle vs Grosseto
0:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grosseto Compare
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
San Donato Tavarnelle Compare
Top Goalscorer Lomangino D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Ciravegna B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grosseto 32 / 100
San Donato Tavarnelle 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grosseto San Donato Tavarnelle
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Grosseto found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).
San Donato Tavarnelle has conceded goals in 70% of their last 30 outings.
H2H data points to 1.40 goals as a typical output.
Grosseto went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Grosseto VS San Donato Tavarnelle
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 38%
13% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Grosseto
(Home) 17 May
Desenzano Calvina
0 : 1 Grosseto
13 May
Grosseto
2 : 3 Ostiamare
02 May
Ghiviborgo
0 : 3 Grosseto
26 Apr
Grosseto
0 : 2 San Donato Tavarnelle
19 Apr
Prato
1 : 0 Grosseto
Page 1 of 6
13 May
Grosseto
2 : 3 Ostiamare
26 Apr
Grosseto
0 : 2 San Donato Tavarnelle
12 Apr
Grosseto
2 : 2 Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
28 Mar
Grosseto
1 : 1 Follonica Gavorrano
15 Mar
Grosseto
1 : 1 Scandicci
Page 1 of 3
San Donato Tavarnelle
(Away) 03 May
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 1 Seravezza Pozzi
26 Apr
Grosseto
0 : 2 San Donato Tavarnelle
19 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0 Foligno
12 Apr
San Donato Tavarnelle
1 : 0 Ghiviborgo
02 Apr
Cannara
1 : 0 San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 6
26 Apr
Grosseto
0 : 2 San Donato Tavarnelle
02 Apr
Cannara
1 : 0 San Donato Tavarnelle
22 Mar
Prato
1 : 0 San Donato Tavarnelle
01 Mar
Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro
1 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
15 Feb
Follonica Gavorrano
1 : 1 San Donato Tavarnelle
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E (Play Out)