Sport Picks
Match Events
33'
33'
Marzierli E.
78'
78'
Arrighini A.
AI Match Summary
The Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 game between Grosseto and Scandicci finished 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
30%
39%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Scandicci
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Grosseto carry the better recent record into this one.
- Grosseto are the model's pick here, at 36%.
- Regular Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Grosseto Clean Sheet 17%
Scandicci Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grosseto | Scandicci |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 30 |
| Wins | 13 | 12 |
| Draws | 9 | 13 |
| Losses | 7 | 5 |
| Goals Scored | 1.45 | 1.4 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.03 | 0.97 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.38 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 15, 2026 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Scandicci
1:1
Nov 2, 2025 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Grosseto
1:2
Mar 1, 2020 Serie D - Group E
Grosseto vs Scandicci
2:0
Oct 27, 2019 Serie D - Group E
Scandicci vs Grosseto
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grosseto Compare
Top Goalscorer Marzierli E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69
Scandicci Compare
Top Goalscorer Arrighini A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grosseto 36 / 100
Scandicci 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grosseto Scandicci
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Grosseto's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Scandicci let in goals in 67% of their last 30 matches.
Games between these two average 2.50 goals.
Recent resilience: Grosseto stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Grosseto VS Scandicci
1.75 Goals Scored 1.75
1 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Grosseto
(Home) 03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3 Sambenedettese
26 Sept
Pineto
0 : 4 Grosseto
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2 Campobasso
12 Sept
Pianese
0 : 0 Grosseto
Page 1 of 6
03 Oct
Grosseto
1 : 3 Sambenedettese
20 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Perugia
16 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 2 Campobasso
09 Sept
Grosseto
1 : 4 Latina
06 Sept
Grosseto
2 : 0 Sassari Torres
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Scandicci
(Away) 04 Oct
Sasso Marconi
0 : 2 Scandicci
27 Sept
Scandicci
0 : 0 Ternana
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3 Scandicci
16 Sept
Scandicci
3 : 0 Rondinella
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1 Scandicci
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04 Oct
Sasso Marconi
0 : 2 Scandicci
20 Sept
Grassina
2 : 3 Scandicci
12 Sept
SCD Progresso
2 : 1 Scandicci
26 Aug
Sangiovannese
3 : 3 Scandicci
21 Aug
Seravezza Pozzi
0 : 1 Scandicci
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Grosseto | 34 | 22 | 6 | 6 | 58:25 | 72 |
| 2 | Tau | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 53:33 | 63 |
| 3 | Prato | 34 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 49:29 | 63 |
| 4 | Siena | 34 | 17 | 9 | 8 | 57:35 | 60 |
| 5 | Seravezza Pozzi | 34 | 15 | 12 | 7 | 42:29 | 57 |
| 6 | Terranuova Traiana | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 28:30 | 51 |
| 7 | Foligno | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45:37 | 51 |
| 8 | Scandicci | 34 | 11 | 15 | 8 | 39:32 | 48 |
| 9 | Montevarchi | 34 | 10 | 16 | 8 | 28:32 | 46 |
| 10 | Sporting Trestina | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 40:42 | 42 |
| 11 | San Donato Tavarnelle | 34 | 9 | 13 | 12 | 30:35 | 40 |
| 12 | Ghiviborgo | 34 | 10 | 10 | 14 | 42:44 | 40 |
| 13 | Orvietana | 34 | 9 | 11 | 14 | 33:37 | 38 |
| 14 | Follonica Gavorrano | 34 | 9 | 10 | 15 | 36:49 | 37 |
| 15 | Camaiore Calcio | 34 | 9 | 8 | 17 | 41:54 | 35 |
| 16 | Poggibonsi | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 29:46 | 31 |
| 17 | Cannara | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 24:59 | 26 |
| 18 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro | 34 | 2 | 16 | 16 | 20:46 | 22 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Offs)
Relegation - Serie D - Group E 2025/2026 (Play Out)
