Sport Picks
Match Events
32'
32'
Saitoski E.
51'
51'
Zeljkovic A.
60'
60'
Sub
Taylor E. In: Vrbanec M.
Out: Taylor E.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 0-1. The second leg ended 0-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
40%
20%
40%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
20%
/ Low Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Grosuplje come out ahead of Aluminij on wins alone.
- Win probability leans Grosuplje's way, sitting at 36%.
- Grosuplje have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Aluminij, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Aluminij have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.8%
Grosuplje Clean Sheet 16%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grosuplje | Aluminij |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 26 | 26 |
| Wins | 12 | 5 |
| Draws | 4 | 8 |
| Losses | 10 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.77 | 0.77 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.5 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.44 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 21, 2026 Prva liga
Aluminij vs Grosuplje
4:2
May 13, 2026 Slovenian Cup
Grosuplje vs Aluminij
0:1
May 12, 2025 2. SNL
Aluminij vs Grosuplje
4:2
Nov 3, 2024 2. SNL
Grosuplje vs Aluminij
1:0
Mar 11, 2023 2. SNL
Grosuplje vs Aluminij
0:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Grosuplje Compare
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Aluminij Compare
Top Goalscorer Susso B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grosuplje 36 / 100
Aluminij 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grosuplje Aluminij
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Grosuplje scored in 81% of their last 26 games.
Defensive concern: Aluminij conceded in 81% of 26 recent games.
These sides typically produce 3.20 goals when they meet.
Recent resilience: Grosuplje stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Grosuplje VS Aluminij
2 Goals Scored 1.13
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.25
100% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Grosuplje
(Home) 30 Aug
Grosuplje
4 : 1 Celje
21 Aug
Aluminij
4 : 2 Grosuplje
16 Aug
Grosuplje
1 : 2 Mura
09 Aug
Bravo
1 : 1 Grosuplje
05 Aug
Grosuplje
7 : 0 Rudar Prijedor
Page 1 of 6
30 Aug
Grosuplje
4 : 1 Celje
16 Aug
Grosuplje
1 : 2 Mura
05 Aug
Grosuplje
7 : 0 Rudar Prijedor
02 Aug
Grosuplje
1 : 1 Koper
21 Jul
Grosuplje
2 : 3 Epitsentr
Page 1 of 4
Aluminij
(Away) 02 Sept
Aluminij
0 : 2 Celje
28 Aug
Aluminij
0 : 1 Koper
21 Aug
Aluminij
4 : 2 Grosuplje
16 Aug
Radomlje
1 : 3 Aluminij
09 Aug
Aluminij
1 : 1 Nafta
Page 1 of 6
16 Aug
Radomlje
1 : 3 Aluminij
02 Aug
O. Ljubljana
1 : 0 Aluminij
30 Jul
Dinamo City
3 : 0 Aluminij
09 Jul
Sheriff Tiraspol
0 : 0 Aluminij
19 Jun
Race
1 : 1 Aluminij
Page 1 of 3
Tournament Bracket & Draw
1/16-finals
Tromejnik Montpreis 0
Jadran Dekani 3
Malecnik 2
Kamnik 1
Beltinci 1
Radomlje 3
Tabor Sezana 1
Primorje 4
Grosuplje 2
Maribor 1
Stojnci 0
Bistrica 18
Sencur 1
O. Ljubljana 2
Makole Bar Miha 0
Celje 4
Fama Vipava 1
Bravo 2
Ljutomer 0
Rudar 3
Dravinja 1
Mura 2
Skofja Loka 1
Nafta 6
Odranci 2
Fuzinar 4
Race 2
NK Krka 1
Ziri 1
Aluminij 6
NK Polana 1
Zavrc 0
1/8-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Malecnik 0
Radomlje 3
Primorje 2
Grosuplje 2
Bistrica 1
O. Ljubljana 1
Celje 0
Bravo 2
Rudar 0
Mura 1
Nafta 2
Fuzinar 5
Race 0
Aluminij 7
NK Polana 1
Quarter-finals
Jadran Dekani 2
Radomlje 4
Grosuplje 1
O. Ljubljana 0
Bravo 2
Nafta 0
Fuzinar 0
Aluminij 4
Semi-finals
Radomlje 0
Grosuplje 1
Bravo 0
Aluminij 1
Final
Grosuplje 0
Aluminij 1
