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Grosuplje vs Aluminij

Slovenia Slovenia

Slovenian Cup Stadion Z'dezele
Our Tip

Match Events

32'
Saitoski E.
51'
Zeljkovic A.
60'
Sub
Taylor E. In: Vrbanec M.
Out: Taylor E.

AI Match Summary

The Slovenian Cup game between Grosuplje and Aluminij finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aluminij.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Grosuplje
17%
Draws
70%
Aluminij
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Aluminij

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grosuplje come out ahead of Aluminij on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Aluminij's way, sitting at 70%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Slovenian Cup game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Aluminij have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Grosuplje Clean Sheet 18%
Aluminij Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grosuplje Aluminij
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 14 7
Draws 4 5
Losses 9 16
Goals Scored 0.5 0.5
Goals Conceded 2.13 1.25
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 13, 2026 Slovenian Cup
Grosuplje vs Aluminij
0:1
May 12, 2025 2. SNL
Aluminij vs Grosuplje
4:2
Nov 3, 2024 2. SNL
Grosuplje vs Aluminij
1:0
Mar 11, 2023 2. SNL
Grosuplje vs Aluminij
0:2
Aug 26, 2022 2. SNL
Aluminij vs Grosuplje
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grosuplje Compare

Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Aluminij Compare

Top Goalscorer Susso B.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grosuplje 15 / 100
Aluminij 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grosuplje Aluminij

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALU Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grosuplje found the back of the net in 74% of recent matches (27 games).

Aluminij's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 28 matches.

These sides typically produce 2.20 goals when they meet.

Grosuplje went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grosuplje VS Aluminij
0.5 Goals Scored 0.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
50% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/16-finals
Tromejnik Montpreis0
Jadran Dekani3
Malecnik2
Kamnik1
Beltinci1
Radomlje3
Tabor Sezana1
Primorje4
Grosuplje2
Maribor1
Stojnci0
Bistrica18
Sencur1
O. Ljubljana2
Makole Bar Miha0
Celje4
Fama Vipava1
Bravo2
Ljutomer0
Rudar3
Dravinja1
Mura2
Skofja Loka1
Nafta6
Odranci2
Fuzinar4
Race2
NK Krka1
Ziri1
Aluminij6
NK Polana1
Zavrc0
1/8-finals
Jadran Dekani2
Malecnik0
Radomlje3
Primorje2
Grosuplje2
Bistrica1
O. Ljubljana1
Celje0
Bravo2
Rudar0
Mura1
Nafta2
Fuzinar5
Race0
Aluminij7
NK Polana1
Quarter-finals
Jadran Dekani2
Radomlje4
Grosuplje1
O. Ljubljana0
Bravo2
Nafta0
Fuzinar0
Aluminij4
Semi-finals
Radomlje0
Grosuplje1
Bravo0
Aluminij1
Final
Grosuplje0
Aluminij1