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Grotta vs Afturelding

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Vivaldivöllurinn
Our Tip

Match Events

22'
Nokkvason N.
24' Event
Kooistra B.
Assist: Saevarsson B.
29' Event
Cogic E.

AI Match Summary

Afturelding in this Division 1 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Afturelding.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Grotta
6%
Draws
90%
Afturelding
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: Afturelding

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Afturelding have won more games recently than Grotta.
  • Afturelding are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.2%
Grotta Clean Sheet 10%
Afturelding Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grotta Afturelding
Matches Played 27 28
Wins 15 16
Draws 1 4
Losses 11 8
Goals Scored 1.88 2.88
Goals Conceded 2.13 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.88 2.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.13 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 18, 2026 Division 1
Grotta vs Afturelding
1:3
Feb 6, 2026 League Cup
Afturelding vs Grotta
2:0
Jul 18, 2024 Division 1
Grotta vs Afturelding
1:4
May 3, 2024 Division 1
Afturelding vs Grotta
1:1
Aug 2, 2023 Division 1
Afturelding vs Grotta
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grotta Compare

Top Goalscorer Jakobsson G.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.45
Avg xA / game 0.94

Afturelding Compare

Top Goalscorer Kooistra B.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cogic E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.62
Avg xA / game 1.6

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grotta 10 / 100
Afturelding 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grotta Afturelding

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick ALF Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grotta's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 27 recent games.

Afturelding let in goals in 82% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Grotta has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Grotta VS Afturelding
1.88 Goals Scored 2.88
2.13 Goals Conceded 1
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 63%
50% Over 3.5 50%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Afturelding1281334:1825
2Throttur1373326:1424
3Fylkir1280423:1724
4Kopavogur1371525:2322
5Vestri1363422:2021
6Njardvik1362519:1520
7Leiknir Reykjavik1354417:1619
8Grotta1261522:2519
9IR Reykjavik1333724:3112
10Grindavik1217413:1710
11Volsungur1215616:278
12Aegir14221018:368