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Grotta vs Vestri Prediction & H2H Stats

Iceland Iceland

Division 1 Vivaldivöllurinn, Seltjarnarnes
Our Tip

Match Events

21' Event
Kjeld M.
28'
Sub
Hafthorsson T. G. In: Selven J.
Out: Hafthorsson T. G.
43'
Sub
Hauksson G. In: Cheshmedjiev K.
Out: Hauksson G.

AI Match Summary

The Division 1 game between Grotta and Vestri finished 5-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Grotta.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Grotta
15%
Draws
73%
Vestri
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Vestri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

73% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Grotta come out ahead of Vestri on wins alone.
  • Vestri are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Grotta have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Grotta Clean Sheet 20%
Vestri Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grotta Vestri
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 12 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 14 16
Goals Scored 1.69 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.86 2.13
Expected Goals (xG) 2.19 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 3, 2026 Division 1
Vestri vs Grotta
0:3
May 23, 2026 Division 1
Grotta vs Vestri
5:3
May 14, 2026 Icelandic Cup
Vestri vs Grotta
0:4
Mar 25, 2024 League Cup
Grotta vs Vestri
3:0
Jul 29, 2023 Division 1
Vestri vs Grotta
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Grotta Compare

Top Goalscorer Kjeld M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Jonasson A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.68
Avg xA / game 1.09

Vestri Compare

Top Goalscorer Morfelt C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Phete T.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.08
Avg xA / game 0.66

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grotta 24 / 100
Vestri 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grotta Vestri

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Vestri Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Grotta scored in 90% of their last 29 games.

Vestri's defensive record shows goals conceded in 80% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 4.20 goals as a typical output.

Vestri lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Grotta VS Vestri
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.63 Goals Conceded 2.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Grotta

(Home)
05 Sept
Grotta
0 : 2
Volsungur
28 Aug
Fylkir
3 : 1
Grotta
25 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Grotta
21 Aug
Grotta
1 : 3
IR Reykjavik
17 Aug
Grindavik
0 : 0
Grotta
Page 1 of 6

Vestri

(Away)
05 Sept
Vestri
0 : 2
Throttur
29 Aug
Afturelding
2 : 0
Vestri
22 Aug
Vestri
2 : 0
Leiknir Reykjavik
17 Aug
Volsungur
2 : 0
Vestri
13 Aug
Vestri
1 : 0
IR Reykjavik
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Afturelding 22 14 3 5 65:33 45
2 Throttur 22 13 4 5 50:25 43
3 Fylkir 22 13 1 8 49:36 40
4 Kopavogur 22 12 2 8 52:40 38
5 Njardvik 22 12 2 8 38:29 38
6 Leiknir Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 34:33 28
7 IR Reykjavik 22 8 4 10 40:46 28
8 Grotta 22 8 3 11 36:43 27
9 Vestri 22 8 3 11 30:43 27
10 Volsungur 22 7 5 10 32:44 26
11 Grindavik 22 5 10 7 25:35 25
12 Aegir 22 2 3 17 25:69 9
Promotion - Besta deild karla 2027 (Main)
Promotion - Division 1 (Promotion - Play Offs)
Relegation - Division 2 2027 (Main)