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Grumellese vs Bustese Milano City

Italy Italy

Serie D - Group B 2017/2018
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Grumellese
30%
Draws
34%
Bustese Milano City
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grumellese

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Grumellese have won more games recently than Bustese Milano City.
  • Model gives Grumellese a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Grumellese Clean Sheet 20%
Bustese Milano City Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Grumellese Bustese Milano City
Matches Played 30 21
Wins 8 4
Draws 7 9
Losses 15 8
Goals Scored 0 0.88
Goals Conceded 0 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 25, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Grumellese vs Bustese Milano City
2:2
Nov 5, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Bustese Milano City vs Grumellese
2:2
Apr 24, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Grumellese vs Bustese Milano City
1:0
Dec 6, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Bustese Milano City vs Grumellese
1:4

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Grumellese 36 / 100
Bustese Milano City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Grumellese Bustese Milano City

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bustese Milano City let in goals in 86% of their last 21 matches.

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Grumellese's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Grumellese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Bustese Milano City
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Pro Patria362310358:2279
2Rezzato36246684:3578
3Ponte San Pietro36217867:4470
4Pergolettese361910757:3767
5Darfo Boario361881051:3062
6Ciserano-Bergamo361841457:4658
7Lecco3616101046:3558
8Crema361391443:4048
9Bustese Milano City3612111344:4347
10Caravaggio3612111347:5247
11Ciliverghe Mazzano361291547:4645
12Levico Terme3611111445:5644
13Trento361271742:6443
14Scanzorosciate361271741:5143
15Lumezzane361191637:5142
16Ciserano368121642:5836
17Grumellese36972034:5534
18USD Dro366131733:6231
19Calcio Romanese36252930:7811