Sport Picks
Grumellese vs Bustese Milano City Prediction & H2H Stats
Italy
Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
37%
30%
33%
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Grumellese
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
30%
/ Low Confidence
- Grumellese have won more games recently than Bustese Milano City.
- Model gives Grumellese a 36% chance of winning this.
- Regular Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 29%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73%
Grumellese Clean Sheet 20%
Bustese Milano City Clean Sheet 11%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Grumellese | Bustese Milano City |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 21 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 7 | 9 |
| Losses | 15 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 1 | 1 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.47 | 1.29 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.29 | 0.99 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Mar 25, 2018 Serie D - Group B
Grumellese vs Bustese Milano City
2:2
Nov 5, 2017 Serie D - Group B
Bustese Milano City vs Grumellese
2:2
Apr 24, 2016 Serie D - Group B
Grumellese vs Bustese Milano City
1:0
Dec 6, 2015 Serie D - Group B
Bustese Milano City vs Grumellese
1:4
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Grumellese 36 / 100
Bustese Milano City 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Grumellese Bustese Milano City
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Bustese Milano City let in goals in 86% of their last 21 matches.
These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.
Grumellese's goal record stands at 63% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Grumellese went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS Bustese Milano City
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.38
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Grumellese
(Home) 06 May
Grumellese
2 : 1 Lecco
29 Apr
Darfo Boario
0 : 1 Grumellese
22 Apr
Grumellese
2 : 2 Ciliverghe Mazzano
15 Apr
Levico Terme
0 : 0 Grumellese
08 Apr
Grumellese
1 : 2 Trento
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06 May
Grumellese
2 : 1 Lecco
22 Apr
Grumellese
2 : 2 Ciliverghe Mazzano
08 Apr
Grumellese
1 : 2 Trento
25 Mar
Grumellese
2 : 2 Bustese Milano City
11 Mar
Grumellese
1 : 2 Ciserano
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Bustese Milano City
(Away) 16 Feb
Inveruno
1 : 2 Bustese Milano City
09 Feb
Bustese Milano City
1 : 2 Caravaggio
02 Feb
Bustese Milano City
2 : 1 Levico Terme
26 Jan
NibionnOggiono
3 : 1 Bustese Milano City
19 Jan
Bustese Milano City
1 : 1 Castellanzese
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16 Feb
Inveruno
1 : 2 Bustese Milano City
26 Jan
NibionnOggiono
3 : 1 Bustese Milano City
15 Jan
Folgore Caratese
1 : 1 Bustese Milano City
05 Jan
Legnano
0 : 1 Bustese Milano City
22 Dec
Brusaporto
2 : 0 Bustese Milano City
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Pro Patria | 36 | 23 | 10 | 3 | 58:22 | 79 |
| 2 | Rezzato | 36 | 24 | 6 | 6 | 84:35 | 78 |
| 3 | Ponte San Pietro | 36 | 21 | 7 | 8 | 67:44 | 70 |
| 4 | Pergolettese | 36 | 19 | 10 | 7 | 57:37 | 67 |
| 5 | Darfo Boario | 36 | 18 | 8 | 10 | 51:30 | 62 |
| 6 | Ciserano-Bergamo | 36 | 18 | 4 | 14 | 57:46 | 58 |
| 7 | Lecco | 36 | 16 | 10 | 10 | 46:35 | 58 |
| 8 | Crema | 36 | 13 | 9 | 14 | 43:40 | 48 |
| 9 | Bustese Milano City | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 44:43 | 47 |
| 10 | Caravaggio | 36 | 12 | 11 | 13 | 47:52 | 47 |
| 11 | Ciliverghe Mazzano | 36 | 12 | 9 | 15 | 47:46 | 45 |
| 12 | Levico Terme | 36 | 11 | 11 | 14 | 45:56 | 44 |
| 13 | Trento | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 42:64 | 43 |
| 14 | Scanzorosciate | 36 | 12 | 7 | 17 | 41:51 | 43 |
| 15 | Lumezzane | 36 | 11 | 9 | 16 | 37:51 | 42 |
| 16 | Ciserano | 36 | 8 | 12 | 16 | 42:58 | 36 |
| 17 | Grumellese | 36 | 9 | 7 | 20 | 34:55 | 34 |
| 18 | USD Dro | 36 | 6 | 13 | 17 | 33:62 | 31 |
| 19 | Calcio Romanese | 36 | 2 | 5 | 29 | 30:78 | 11 |
Promotion - Serie D - Group A 2017/2018 (Winners stage)
Promotion - Serie D - Group B 2017/2018 (Play Offs)
