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Gryf Wejherowo vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg

Poland Poland

III Liga - Group II 2020/2021
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Gryf Wejherowo play Kotwica Kolobrzeg in the III Liga - Group II 2020/2021. It looks like a close match. Recently, Gryf Wejherowo averaged 1.43 goals scored and 1.7 conceded. Kotwica Kolobrzeg averaged 1.17 goals scored and 1.39 conceded. In past meetings, Gryf Wejherowo won 2, Kotwica Kolobrzeg won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Jun 12, 2021 ended 3:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 0.88 for Gryf Wejherowo and 0.75 for Kotwica Kolobrzeg. This points to a Kotwica Kolobrzeg double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Gryf Wejherowo
22%
Draws
42%
Kotwica Kolobrzeg
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Kotwica Kolobrzeg

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Gryf Wejherowo picked up more points recently compared to Kotwica Kolobrzeg.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (0.88 vs 0.75 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 51%
Gryf Wejherowo Clean Sheet 27%
Kotwica Kolobrzeg Clean Sheet 17%
First Half Goal 68%
Second Half Goal 71%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Gryf Wejherowo Kotwica Kolobrzeg
Matches Played 30 36
Wins 9 12
Draws 6 9
Losses 15 15
Goals Scored 1.43 1.17
Goals Conceded 1.7 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 12, 2021 III Liga - Group II
Gryf Wejherowo vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
3:0
Nov 21, 2020 III Liga - Group II
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Gryf Wejherowo
1:1
Mar 4, 2017 Division 2
Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Gryf Wejherowo
1:3
Aug 13, 2016 Division 2
Gryf Wejherowo vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0:1
Nov 29, 2015 Division 2
Gryf Wejherowo vs Kotwica Kolobrzeg
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Gryf Wejherowo Compare

Top Goalscorer Trytko P.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Kwidzinski J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Kotwica Kolobrzeg Compare

Avg xG / game 0.45
Avg xA / game 0.28

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Gryf Wejherowo 38 / 100
Kotwica Kolobrzeg 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Gryf Wejherowo Kotwica Kolobrzeg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Kotwica Kolobrzeg or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +28.5%
3.57
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Gryf Wejherowo attacking → ← attacking Kotwica Kolobrzeg

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Gryf Wejherowo scored in 77% of their last 30 games.

Kotwica Kolobrzeg let in goals in 72% of their last 36 matches.

Games between these two average 2.20 goals.

Gryf Wejherowo went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Kotwica Kolobrzeg lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

33 Points in last 5 45
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.50
1.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.75