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GS Loures vs Marinhense

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
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Match Events

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No live events recorded yet.

AI Match Summary

GS Loures host Marinhense in the Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Marinhense have shipped 1.5 goals a game lately, while GS Loures have conceded 0 and scored 0. Past meetings favor Marinhense slightly — 0-1-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jan 29, 2023, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.35 xG vs 0.68) point toward Marinhense. Marinhense in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

90%
GS Loures
6%
Draws
4%
Marinhense
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: GS Loures

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Marinhense demonstrates higher offensive output (0.25 avg goals) than GS Loures (0 avg goals).
  • Model forecasts a 90% win probability edge for GS Loures.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 provide steady trend data.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 22%
GS Loures Clean Sheet 68%
Marinhense Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GS Loures Marinhense
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 9 9
Draws 7 10
Losses 13 13
Goals Scored 0 0.25
Goals Conceded 0 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 29, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GS Loures vs Marinhense
1:2
Oct 9, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
Marinhense vs GS Loures
0:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GS Loures 95 / 100
Marinhense 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GS Loures Marinhense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick LOU Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

GS Loures scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Marinhense let in goals in 69% of their last 32 matches.

Games between these two average 1.50 goals.

GS Loures went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Marinhense lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Marinhense
0 Goals Scored 0.25
0 Goals Conceded 1.5
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
11º Dezembro25155537:1950
2Pero Pinheiro25157434:2449
3Santarem25139340:1448
4Marinhense25126731:2442
5SB Castelo Branco251010533:2740
6Mortagua FC2599741:3836
7Sertanense2599730:2536
8Sintrense25109734:2536
9GD Coruchense2589930:2830
10Uniao Da Serra25931331:4030
11GS Loures25671226:4125
12Arronches Benfica25541615:3919
13Alcains25421923:4714
14Rio Maior SC010120:00