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GS Loures vs SB Castelo Branco

Portugal Portugal

Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

SB Castelo Branco in this Campeonato de Portugal - Group C 2022/2023 matchup, with the score ending 1-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored SB Castelo Branco.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
GS Loures
15%
Draws
39%
SB Castelo Branco
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: GS Loures

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to SB Castelo Branco lately — more wins on the board than GS Loures.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on GS Loures taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
GS Loures Clean Sheet 68%
SB Castelo Branco Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric GS Loures SB Castelo Branco
Matches Played 29 43
Wins 9 23
Draws 7 8
Losses 13 12
Goals Scored 1.07 1.7
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.09
Expected Goals (xG) 1.10 1.49
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 12, 2023 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
GS Loures vs SB Castelo Branco
1:3
Oct 30, 2022 Campeonato de Portugal - Group C
SB Castelo Branco vs GS Loures
3:1
May 23, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
GS Loures vs SB Castelo Branco
1:1
May 2, 2021 Campeonato de Portugal - Group A
SB Castelo Branco vs GS Loures
0:1
Oct 20, 2019 Taça de Portugal
GS Loures vs SB Castelo Branco
4:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

GS Loures 77 / 100
SB Castelo Branco 15 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
GS Loures SB Castelo Branco

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GS Loures Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

GS Loures found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

SB Castelo Branco's defensive record shows goals conceded in 63% of 43 matches.

Solid form: GS Loures remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

- VS SB Castelo Branco
0 Goals Scored 1.88
0 Goals Conceded 1
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

GS Loures

(Home)
16 Apr
Uniao Da Serra
2 : 1
GS Loures
08 Apr
GS Loures
1 : 3
Sertanense
02 Apr
Alcains
2 : 5
GS Loures
19 Mar
Arronches Benfica
1 : 2
GS Loures
12 Mar
GS Loures
2 : 2
Pero Pinheiro
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SB Castelo Branco

(Away)
13 Sept
SB Castelo Branco
2 : 3
Nogueirense
06 Sept
Alverca B
0 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
29 Aug
Fatima
3 : 1
SB Castelo Branco
23 Aug
SB Castelo Branco
1 : 4
Naval 1893
16 Aug
Oliveira Hospital
2 : 3
SB Castelo Branco
Page 1 of 9

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 1º Dezembro 25 15 5 5 37:19 50
2 Pero Pinheiro 25 15 7 4 34:24 49
3 Santarem 25 13 9 3 40:14 48
4 Marinhense 25 12 6 7 31:24 42
5 SB Castelo Branco 25 10 10 5 33:27 40
6 Mortagua FC 25 9 9 7 41:38 36
7 Sertanense 25 9 9 7 30:25 36
8 Sintrense 25 10 9 7 34:25 36
9 GD Coruchense 25 8 9 9 30:28 30
10 Uniao Da Serra 25 9 3 13 31:40 30
11 GS Loures 25 6 7 12 26:41 25
12 Arronches Benfica 25 5 4 16 15:39 19
13 Alcains 25 4 2 19 23:47 14
14 Rio Maior SC 0 1 0 12 0:0 0
Promotion - Campeonato de Portugal - Group A 2022/2023 (Promotion Group)