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Guabira vs Club Universitario de Vinto - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Bolivia Bolivia

Copa Pacena Estadio Gilberto Parada, Montero
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Pedro
18' Event
Anez C.
Own Goal
32'
Moreno A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

51%
Guabira
15%
Draws
34%
Club Universitario de Vinto
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guabira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

51% / Medium Confidence
  • Guabira have won more games recently than Club Universitario de Vinto.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Guabira have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Guabira, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Guabira Clean Sheet 10%
Club Universitario de Vinto Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guabira Club Universitario de Vinto
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 7
Draws 5 4
Losses 11 18
Goals Scored 1.54 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.93 2.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Copa Pacena
Club Universitario de Vinto vs Guabira
3:1
Aug 18, 2026 Copa Pacena
Guabira vs Club Universitario de Vinto
2:1
Jul 31, 2026 Division Profesional
Club Universitario de Vinto vs Guabira
1:1
Feb 25, 2026 Club Friendly
Club Universitario de Vinto vs Guabira
5:2
Feb 20, 2026 Club Friendly
Guabira vs Club Universitario de Vinto
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guabira Compare

Top Goalscorer Pedro
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Club Universitario de Vinto Compare

Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guabira 29 / 100
Club Universitario de Vinto 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guabira Club Universitario de Vinto

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guabira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guabira's goal record stands at 82% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Club Universitario de Vinto has conceded goals in 90% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Guabira has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guabira VS Club Universitario de Vinto
1.25 Goals Scored 1.88
2 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guabira

(Home)
08 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1
The Strongest
04 Oct
Guabira
2 : 1
Oriente Petrolero
29 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1
Guabira
26 Sept
The Strongest
2 : 1
Guabira
21 Sept
Guabira
2 : 1
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
Page 1 of 6

Club Universitario de Vinto

(Away)
10 Oct
Club Universitario de Vinto
1 : 3
Real Oruro
08 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
2 : 0
Club Universitario de Vinto
03 Oct
The Strongest
5 : 2
Club Universitario de Vinto
29 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1
Guabira
27 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 0
Oriente Petrolero
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Aurora 8 5 3 0 13:6 18
2 Real Potosi 8 4 2 2 14:12 14
3 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 8 3 1 4 15:12 10
4 Academia del Balompie 8 2 0 6 9:13 6
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Nacional Potosi 8 5 2 1 24:7 17
2 Always Ready 8 3 1 4 14:22 10
3 Tomayapo 8 3 1 4 10:20 10
4 Real Oruro 8 2 1 5 11:16 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 The Strongest 8 4 2 2 16:13 14
2 Oriente Petrolero 8 4 1 3 12:9 13
3 Guabira 8 4 0 4 11:15 12
4 Club Universitario de Vinto 8 2 1 5 13:17 7
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 4)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Bolivar 8 5 3 0 17:7 18
2 Independiente 8 5 1 2 16:11 16
3 GV San Jose 8 2 0 6 11:17 6
4 Blooming 8 1 1 6 11:20 4
Promotion - Copa Pacena 2025 (Play Offs)