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Guabira vs Real Mapajo

Bolivia Bolivia

Nacional B 2014/2015 Estadio Gilberto Parada, Montero
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Nacional B 2014/2015 game between Guabira and Real Mapajo finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guabira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Guabira
30%
Draws
23%
Real Mapajo
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guabira

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guabira come out ahead of Real Mapajo on wins alone.
  • Guabira are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular Nacional B 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Guabira Clean Sheet 20%
Real Mapajo Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guabira Real Mapajo
Matches Played 30 14
Wins 12 0
Draws 6 2
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 1.57 0.5
Goals Conceded 1.87 3.36
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 1.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 22, 2014 Copa Simon Bolivar
Real Mapajo vs Guabira
0:1
Oct 19, 2014 Copa Simon Bolivar
Guabira vs Real Mapajo
5:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guabira 49 / 100
Real Mapajo 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guabira Real Mapajo

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guabira Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Real Mapajo conceded in 93% of 14 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Guabira scored in 77% of their last 30 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Real Mapajo lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guabira VS -
2.13 Goals Scored 0
1.25 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
88% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guabira

(Home)
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1
Aurora
13 Sept
Always Ready
6 : 0
Guabira
09 Sept
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 0
Guabira
05 Sept
Guabira
1 : 1
Real Potosi
31 Aug
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
5 : 1
Guabira
Page 1 of 6

Real Mapajo

(Away)
28 Oct
Universitario Beni
3 : 1
Real Mapajo
22 Oct
Real Mapajo
1 : 2
24 de Septiembre
07 Oct
Real Mapajo
0 : 0
Universitario Beni
30 Sept
24 de Septiembre
1 : 1
Real Mapajo
01 Jul
Universitario de Pando
5 : 2
Real Mapajo
Page 1 of 3

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guabira 8 5 2 1 17:6 17
2 Destroyers 8 4 3 1 22:5 15
3 Universitario Beni 8 4 2 2 10:10 14
4 El Torno FC 8 3 1 4 18:14 10
5 Real Mapajo 8 0 0 8 2:34 0
Promotion - Nacional B 2014/2015 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Maestranza 8 6 1 1 16:7 19
2 Ramiro Castillo 8 4 1 3 18:11 13
3 Aurora 8 3 3 2 10:9 12
4 Enrique Happ 8 3 2 3 12:9 11
5 Oruro Royal 8 0 1 7 7:27 1
Promotion - Nacional B 2014/2015 (Final Stage)

League Standings (Group 3)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Atletico Bermejo 8 7 1 0 26:6 22
2 Ciclon 8 5 1 2 24:12 16
3 Fancesa 8 4 2 2 21:15 14
4 Wilstermann Cooperativas 8 1 0 7 13:20 3
5 Quebracho Villa Montes 8 1 0 7 15:46 3
Promotion - Nacional B 2014/2015 (Final Stage)