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Guabira vs The Strongest Prediction & H2H Stats

Bolivia Bolivia

Division Profesional Estadio Gilberto Parada, Montero
Our Tip

Match Events

23' Event
Ursino L.
Assist: Andres Valverde P. M.
45'
Lom D.
46'
Sub
Thiago Ribeiro In: Moreno A.
Out: Thiago Ribeiro

AI Match Summary

The Division Profesional game between Guabira and The Strongest finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guabira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

28%
Guabira
20%
Draws
52%
The Strongest
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: The Strongest

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Guabira haven't matched The Strongest's recent run of results.
  • 40% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Regular Division Profesional form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 80.2%
Guabira Clean Sheet 10%
The Strongest Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guabira The Strongest
Matches Played 28 31
Wins 10 19
Draws 5 8
Losses 13 4
Goals Scored 1.46 2.03
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.16
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 26, 2026 Copa Pacena
The Strongest vs Guabira
2:1
Aug 15, 2026 Division Profesional
Guabira vs The Strongest
3:1
Nov 26, 2025 Copa Pacena
Guabira vs The Strongest
3:3
Nov 19, 2025 Copa Pacena
The Strongest vs Guabira
2:1
Sep 21, 2025 Division Profesional
Guabira vs The Strongest
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guabira Compare

Top Goalscorer Ursino L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

The Strongest Compare

Top Goalscorer Ribera R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guabira 30 / 100
The Strongest 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guabira The Strongest

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 3.80 goals.

Guabira's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

The Strongest's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 31 matches.

Guabira went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guabira VS The Strongest
1.13 Goals Scored 2.5
2.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
50% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guabira

(Home)
29 Sept
Club Universitario de Vinto
3 : 1
Guabira
26 Sept
The Strongest
2 : 1
Guabira
21 Sept
Guabira
2 : 1
San Antonio Bulo Bulo
16 Sept
Guabira
3 : 1
Aurora
13 Sept
Always Ready
6 : 0
Guabira
Page 1 of 6

The Strongest

(Away)
01 Oct
Oriente Petrolero
1 : 1
The Strongest
26 Sept
The Strongest
2 : 1
Guabira
20 Sept
The Strongest
1 : 1
Bolivar
15 Sept
Academia del Balompie
1 : 2
The Strongest
12 Sept
The Strongest
5 : 0
Real Oruro
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Always Ready 20 13 6 1 47:13 45
2 Bolivar 20 14 3 3 54:22 45
3 The Strongest 20 12 6 2 39:22 42
4 Real Potosi 20 8 8 4 27:14 32
5 Oriente Petrolero 20 9 3 8 36:27 30
6 Aurora 20 7 9 4 31:27 30
7 Guabira 20 8 5 7 32:39 29
8 Blooming 20 6 9 5 30:22 27
9 Nacional Potosi 20 8 3 9 30:28 27
10 Independiente 20 7 4 9 27:35 25
11 Real Oruro 20 6 3 11 32:50 21
12 Academia del Balompie 20 6 2 12 31:45 20
13 San Antonio Bulo Bulo 20 6 2 12 21:40 20
14 Club Universitario de Vinto 20 5 3 12 26:39 18
15 Tomayapo 20 4 4 12 15:39 16
16 GV San Jose 20 2 8 10 21:37 14
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Group Stage)
Promotion - Copa Libertadores 2027 (Qualification)
Promotion - Copa Sudamericana 2027 (Qualification)
Relegation - Division Profesional (Relegation)