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Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Club Tijuana U21 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21
Our Tip

Match Events

56' Event
Usma J.
76' Event
Hernandez Z.
80' Event
Munoz P.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 game between Guadalajara Chivas U21 and Club Tijuana U21 finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Club Tijuana U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Guadalajara Chivas U21
15%
Draws
28%
Club Tijuana U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas U21 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Guadalajara Chivas U21 are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Club Tijuana U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 35.6%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Club Tijuana U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas U21 Club Tijuana U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 14
Draws 4 0
Losses 9 15
Goals Scored 1.66 1.69
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.45
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Club Tijuana U21
1:2
Apr 25, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Club Tijuana U21
4:1
Aug 22, 2025 Liga MX U21
Club Tijuana U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Chivas U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Hernandez Z.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Club Tijuana U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Usma J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Munoz P.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas U21 59 / 100
Club Tijuana U21 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Club Tijuana U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara Chivas U21's goal record stands at 86% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Club Tijuana U21 let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Guadalajara Chivas U21 has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas U21 VS Club Tijuana U21
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 63%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara Chivas U21

(Home)
10 Oct
Atlas U21
0 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U21
02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4
Queretaro U21
19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
Page 1 of 6

Club Tijuana U21

(Away)
10 Oct
Juarez U21
1 : 0
Club Tijuana U21
25 Sept
Club Tijuana U21
3 : 2
Atlas U21
20 Sept
Pachuca U21
2 : 1
Club Tijuana U21
11 Sept
Club Tijuana U21
3 : 1
Queretaro U21
05 Sept
Club America U21
4 : 3
Club Tijuana U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Toluca U21 11 11 0 0 22:8 30
2 Club Leon U21 11 10 0 1 21:10 27
3 Club Tijuana U21 11 7 0 4 18:13 21
4 Guadalajara Chivas U21 11 7 0 4 18:14 21
5 Club America U21 11 6 0 5 17:14 18
6 Puebla U21 11 5 0 6 12:11 17
7 Atlante U21 11 5 0 6 17:22 16
8 Santos Laguna U21 10 5 0 5 10:12 15
9 Monterrey U21 10 5 0 5 19:16 14
10 Juarez U21 11 5 0 6 10:12 14
11 Necaxa U21 10 5 0 5 11:15 14
12 Atletico San Luis U21 10 5 0 5 17:19 13
13 Pachuca U21 10 3 0 7 10:15 13
14 Cruz Azul U21 10 5 0 5 18:16 12
15 Atlas U21 11 3 0 8 13:15 12
16 UNAM Pumas U21 10 3 0 7 10:14 12
17 Tigres UANL U21 11 3 0 8 11:21 10
18 Queretaro U21 10 2 0 8 12:19 6
Promotion - Liga MX U21 (Apertura - Play Offs)