Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Santos Laguna U21 Prediction & H2H Stats

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX U21 2025/2026
Sat, Mar 14, 2026
2 - 1
03:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

50' Event
Perez J.
79' Event
Latorre D.
(Penalty)
1' Event
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX U21 2025/2026 game between Guadalajara Chivas U21 and Santos Laguna U21 finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadalajara Chivas U21.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Guadalajara Chivas U21
15%
Draws
28%
Santos Laguna U21
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas U21

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guadalajara Chivas U21 come out ahead of Santos Laguna U21 on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Guadalajara Chivas U21's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular Liga MX U21 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Guadalajara Chivas U21 have won 2 of the last 3 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Clean Sheet 68%
Santos Laguna U21 Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas U21 Santos Laguna U21
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 16 9
Draws 4 2
Losses 9 18
Goals Scored 1.62 0.97
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.59
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga MX U21
Santos Laguna U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
0:1
Mar 14, 2026 Liga MX U21
Guadalajara Chivas U21 vs Santos Laguna U21
2:1
Aug 10, 2025 Liga MX U21
Santos Laguna U21 vs Guadalajara Chivas U21
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Chivas U21 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Santos Laguna U21 Compare

Top Goalscorer Perez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas U21 86 / 100
Santos Laguna U21 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas U21 Santos Laguna U21

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas U21 Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara Chivas U21 found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Santos Laguna U21 conceded in 76% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Guadalajara Chivas U21 went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas U21 VS Santos Laguna U21
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.25
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara Chivas U21

(Home)
02 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
Juarez U21
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
2 : 4
Queretaro U21
19 Sept
Club America U21
1 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas U21
13 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas U21
1 : 0
UNAM Pumas U21
05 Sept
Atletico San Luis U21
1 : 3
Guadalajara Chivas U21
Page 1 of 6

Santos Laguna U21

(Away)
26 Sept
Santos Laguna U21
2 : 0
Pachuca U21
20 Sept
Toluca U21
2 : 1
Santos Laguna U21
13 Sept
Santos Laguna U21
1 : 2
Juarez U21
06 Sept
Cruz Azul U21
4 : 0
Santos Laguna U21
29 Aug
Santos Laguna U21
1 : 0
Tigres UANL U21
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America U21 17 12 0 5 32:20 32
2 Guadalajara Chivas U21 17 10 0 7 26:19 32
3 Juarez U21 17 11 0 6 23:18 32
4 Monterrey U21 17 11 0 6 27:25 30
5 Pachuca U21 17 9 0 8 30:18 29
6 Toluca U21 17 9 0 8 32:22 29
7 Atlas U21 17 10 0 7 21:23 29
8 UNAM Pumas U21 17 11 0 6 23:26 28
9 Club Leon U21 17 9 0 8 18:16 27
10 Necaxa U21 17 10 0 7 23:25 26
11 Tigres UANL U21 17 8 0 9 20:18 24
12 Atletico San Luis U21 17 8 0 9 25:24 24
13 Club Tijuana U21 17 6 0 11 28:23 22
14 Cruz Azul U21 17 7 0 10 17:21 22
15 Puebla U21 17 5 0 12 17:22 20
16 Queretaro U21 17 8 0 9 20:27 20
17 Santos Laguna U21 17 5 0 12 16:25 20
18 Mazatlan FC U21 17 4 0 13 5:31 13
Promotion - Liga MX U21 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)