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Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
01:07 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara Chivas host Atlante in the Liga MX. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Guadalajara Chivas have averaged 1.65 scored and 1 conceded recently, against Atlante's 1.17 scored and 1.62 conceded. Past meetings favor Guadalajara Chivas slightly — 2-1-2 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Nov 1, 2017, ending 1:2. The numbers (1.56 xG vs 1.00) point toward Guadalajara Chivas. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Guadalajara Chivas
20%
Draws
34%
Atlante
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Guadalajara Chivas a 46% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Guadalajara Chivas Clean Sheet 20%
Atlante Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas Atlante
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 14 7
Draws 10 10
Losses 7 12
Goals Scored 1.65 1.17
Goals Conceded 1 1.62
Expected Goals (xG) 1.56 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 1, 2017 Copa Mexico
Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante
1:2
Feb 22, 2017 Copa Mexico
Atlante vs Guadalajara Chivas
1:3
Jan 25, 2017 Copa Mexico
Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante
1:1
Jan 26, 2014 Liga MX
Atlante vs Guadalajara Chivas
1:1
Aug 4, 2013 Liga MX
Guadalajara Chivas vs Atlante
1:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas 58 / 100
Atlante 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas Atlante

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara Chivas's goal record stands at 81% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

Atlante's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 29 matches.

H2H data points to 2.40 goals as a typical output.

Solid form: Guadalajara Chivas remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas VS Atlante
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
100% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara Chivas

(Home)
21 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas
1 : 0
Necaxa
17 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas
1 : 1
Tigres UANL
11 Oct
Atlas
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
05 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas
2 : 0
Club America
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2
Queretaro
Page 1 of 7

Atlante

(Away)
24 Oct
Atlante
0 : 1
Atletico San Luis
21 Oct
Juarez
0 : 1
Atlante
17 Oct
Atlante
1 : 2
UNAM Pumas
10 Oct
Queretaro
2 : 0
Atlante
26 Sept
Atlante
4 : 2
Monterrey
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America 12 8 3 1 32:16 27
2 Guadalajara Chivas 13 6 5 2 20:12 23
3 Cruz Azul 13 7 2 4 29:22 23
4 Toluca 13 6 4 3 28:18 22
5 Club Leon 13 6 3 4 20:17 21
6 Atlas 13 6 3 4 21:23 21
7 Monterrey 12 6 2 4 23:17 20
8 Queretaro 12 6 2 4 16:15 20
9 Santos Laguna 13 6 1 6 19:16 19
10 Atletico San Luis 14 5 4 5 19:22 19
11 Club Tijuana 12 4 5 3 17:16 17
12 UNAM Pumas 13 4 4 5 19:22 16
13 Puebla 13 4 4 5 13:17 16
14 Tigres UANL 13 3 5 5 14:18 14
15 Atlante 14 3 5 6 14:20 14
16 Pachuca 13 3 4 6 20:18 13
17 Necaxa 14 2 4 8 16:27 10
18 Juarez 14 1 2 11 9:33 5
Promotion - Liga MX (Apertura - Play Offs)