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Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Dallas - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

Leagues Cup PayPal Park, San Jose, CA
Our Tip

Match Events

46'
Sub
Sarver S. In: Moreno S.
Out: Sarver S.
46'
Sub
Ramiro In: Cappis C.
Out: Ramiro
46'
Sub
Gomez M. In: Alvarez E.
Out: Gomez M.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Guadalajara Chivas
30%
Draws
39%
FC Dallas
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: FC Dallas

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

31% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to FC Dallas lately — more wins on the board than Guadalajara Chivas.
  • 31% — that's where the model lands on Guadalajara Chivas taking it.
  • FC Dallas arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor FC Dallas, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.6%
Guadalajara Chivas Clean Sheet 16%
FC Dallas Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas FC Dallas
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 12 15
Draws 9 7
Losses 7 7
Goals Scored 1.64 1.97
Goals Conceded 1.07 1.55
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 9, 2026 Leagues Cup
Guadalajara Chivas vs FC Dallas
0:1
Jul 25, 2007 SuperLiga
FC Dallas vs Guadalajara Chivas
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Chivas Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

FC Dallas Compare

Top Goalscorer Farrington L.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas 39 / 100
FC Dallas 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas FC Dallas

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:4
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara Chivas's goal record stands at 79% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

FC Dallas's defensive record shows goals conceded in 72% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 1.50 goals per match.

Guadalajara Chivas went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas VS FC Dallas
2.13 Goals Scored 2
1 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara Chivas

(Home)
11 Oct
Atlas
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas
05 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas
2 : 0
Club America
26 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
0 : 2
Queretaro
20 Sept
Club America
2 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas
14 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas
3 : 0
UNAM Pumas
Page 1 of 6

FC Dallas

(Away)
10 Oct
Charlotte FC
3 : 2
FC Dallas
27 Sept
FC Dallas
1 : 0
Los Angeles FC
20 Sept
FC Dallas
0 : 0
Austin FC
13 Sept
FC Dallas
2 : 1
Portland Timbers
10 Sept
Minnesota United
1 : 2
FC Dallas
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club Leon 3 3 0 0 6:3 9
2 Club America 3 2 0 1 7:3 7
3 Toluca 3 2 0 1 6:2 6
4 Monterrey 3 2 0 1 5:4 6
5 Cruz Azul 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
6 Juarez 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
7 Tigres UANL 3 3 0 0 2:2 6
8 Guadalajara Chivas 3 1 0 2 3:3 4
9 Santos Laguna 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
10 Pachuca 3 1 0 2 3:5 3
11 Atlas 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
12 Necaxa 3 1 0 2 3:6 3
13 Atlante 3 1 0 2 2:7 3
14 Atletico San Luis 3 0 0 3 5:10 1
15 UNAM Pumas 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
16 Queretaro 3 0 0 3 1:6 1
17 Club Tijuana 3 0 0 3 1:6 0
18 Puebla 3 0 0 3 4:11 0
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Chicago Fire 3 3 0 0 7:2 9
2 Austin FC 3 3 0 0 6:1 8
3 Columbus Crew 3 3 0 0 6:3 8
4 Real Salt Lake 3 2 0 1 8:1 7
5 Los Angeles FC 3 3 0 0 3:2 7
6 Charlotte FC 3 2 0 1 5:1 6
7 Portland Timbers 3 2 0 1 9:6 6
8 FC Cincinnati 3 2 0 1 6:3 6
9 FC Dallas 3 2 0 1 4:3 6
10 San Diego FC 3 2 0 1 5:5 6
11 Orlando City 3 2 0 1 5:5 5
12 Minnesota United 3 1 0 2 4:3 4
13 Nashville SC 3 1 0 2 5:4 3
14 Inter Miami 3 1 0 2 7:7 3
15 New York City 3 1 0 2 4:4 3
16 Seattle Sounders 3 1 0 2 4:5 3
17 Philadelphia Union 3 1 0 2 3:4 3
18 Vancouver Whitecaps 3 0 0 3 2:5 1
Promotion - Leagues Cup (Play Offs)