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Guadalajara Chivas W vs Atletico San Luis W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Cervantes A.
Assist: Jaramillo C.
24' Event
Higuera E.
30'
Higuera E.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Guadalajara Chivas W and Atletico San Luis W finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadalajara Chivas W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

46%
Guadalajara Chivas W
15%
Draws
39%
Atletico San Luis W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

46% / Medium Confidence
  • Guadalajara Chivas W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 46% — that's where the model lands on Guadalajara Chivas W taking it.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Guadalajara Chivas W have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 10%
Atletico San Luis W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas W Atletico San Luis W
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 17 13
Draws 7 4
Losses 5 12
Goals Scored 1.72 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 1.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Atletico San Luis W
3:1
Jan 4, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Atletico San Luis W
2:0
Jul 13, 2025 Liga MX Women
Atletico San Luis W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:2
Feb 7, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Atletico San Luis W
3:1
Aug 20, 2024 Liga MX Women
Atletico San Luis W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Chivas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Cervantes A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Casarez J. A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Atletico San Luis W Compare

Top Goalscorer Higuera E.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas W 56 / 100
Atletico San Luis W 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas W Atletico San Luis W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadalajara Chivas W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara Chivas W's goal record stands at 83% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Atletico San Luis W let in goals in 86% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Guadalajara Chivas W stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas W VS Atletico San Luis W
2.13 Goals Scored 2.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 100%
63% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara Chivas W

(Home)
04 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0
Juarez W
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3
Monterrey W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4
Guadalajara Chivas W
Page 1 of 6

Atletico San Luis W

(Away)
03 Oct
Queretaro W
0 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
28 Sept
Tigres UANL W
1 : 1
Atletico San Luis W
20 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
13 Sept
Atletico San Luis W
2 : 3
Santos Laguna W
05 Sept
Necaxa W
0 : 2
Atletico San Luis W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)