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Guadalajara Chivas W vs Juarez W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Our Tip

Match Events

14'
Castro D.
43'
Mora De La Torre B. E.
46'
Sub
Castro D. In: Lopez S.
Out: Castro D.

AI Match Summary

Guadalajara Chivas W in this Liga MX Women matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guadalajara Chivas W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Guadalajara Chivas W
15%
Draws
42%
Juarez W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Juarez W haven't matched Guadalajara Chivas W's recent run of results.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 17%
Juarez W Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas W Juarez W
Matches Played 30 32
Wins 18 17
Draws 7 7
Losses 5 8
Goals Scored 1.8 1.63
Goals Conceded 0.9 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 4, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Juarez W
1:0
Apr 21, 2026 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
1:1
Aug 1, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Juarez W
1:0
Jan 17, 2025 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Juarez W
0:0
Jul 5, 2024 Liga MX Women
Juarez W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Chivas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lopez S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Juarez W Compare

Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas W 36 / 100
Juarez W 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas W Juarez W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Juarez W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara Chivas W scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

Juarez W has conceded goals in 63% of their last 32 outings.

Guadalajara Chivas W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Games between these two average 1.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas W VS Juarez W
2.13 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.63
100% Over 1.5 38%
75% Over 2.5 13%
75% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara Chivas W

(Home)
04 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0
Juarez W
26 Sept
Cruz Azul W
0 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
19 Sept
Club Tijuana W
0 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas W
12 Sept
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 3
Monterrey W
05 Sept
Atlas W
0 : 4
Guadalajara Chivas W
Page 1 of 6

Juarez W

(Away)
04 Oct
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 0
Juarez W
27 Sept
Juarez W
5 : 1
Club Tijuana W
21 Sept
Club Leon W
0 : 2
Juarez W
13 Sept
Juarez W
1 : 0
Necaxa W
08 Sept
Atlante W
0 : 1
Juarez W
Page 1 of 7

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Monterrey W 10 9 0 1 39:13 27
2 Tigres UANL W 10 8 1 1 32:10 25
3 Toluca W 10 7 1 2 25:16 22
4 Juarez W 10 7 0 3 14:7 21
5 Santos Laguna W 10 5 0 5 13:20 15
6 Cruz Azul W 10 5 0 5 13:21 15
7 Club Leon W 9 4 0 5 15:17 12
8 Atlante W 10 2 1 7 6:13 7
9 Queretaro W 10 2 0 8 10:22 6
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Club America W 10 8 1 1 45:11 25
2 Guadalajara Chivas W 10 7 0 3 21:11 21
3 Atletico San Luis W 10 6 1 3 23:16 19
4 UNAM Pumas W 10 4 1 5 18:17 13
5 Atlas W 9 3 3 3 10:17 12
6 Pachuca W 10 3 1 6 14:15 10
7 Club Tijuana W 10 3 0 7 13:24 9
8 Puebla W 10 1 0 9 13:39 3
9 Necaxa W 10 0 0 10 3:38 0
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Apertura - Play Offs)