Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guadalajara Chivas W vs Santos Laguna W

Mexico Mexico

Liga MX Women Estadio Akron, Zapopan
Our Tip

Match Events

31'
Santana M.
31'
Franco Y.
41'
Peraza M.

AI Match Summary

The Liga MX Women game between Guadalajara Chivas W and Santos Laguna W finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guadalajara Chivas W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Guadalajara Chivas W
28%
Draws
22%
Santos Laguna W
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Guadalajara Chivas W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guadalajara Chivas W come out ahead of Santos Laguna W on wins alone.
  • Model gives Guadalajara Chivas W a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Liga MX Women form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Guadalajara Chivas W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Guadalajara Chivas W Clean Sheet 68%
Santos Laguna W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Chivas W Santos Laguna W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 16 4
Draws 9 5
Losses 5 21
Goals Scored 1.63 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.63 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 18, 2026 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Santos Laguna W
1:0
Aug 5, 2025 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
2:1
Jan 10, 2025 Liga MX Women
Santos Laguna W vs Guadalajara Chivas W
0:1
Nov 4, 2024 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Santos Laguna W
6:0
Feb 9, 2024 Liga MX Women
Guadalajara Chivas W vs Santos Laguna W
10:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Chivas W Compare

Top Goalscorer Iturbide A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81

Santos Laguna W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara Chivas W 59 / 100
Santos Laguna W 22 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Chivas W Santos Laguna W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Guadalajara Chivas W scored in 80% of their last 30 outings.

Defensive concern: Santos Laguna W conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.60 goals as a typical output.

Guadalajara Chivas W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara Chivas W VS Santos Laguna W
1.63 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
75% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara Chivas W

(Home)
04 May
Pachuca W
2 : 0
Guadalajara Chivas W
01 May
Guadalajara Chivas W
2 : 1
Pachuca W
25 Apr
Guadalajara Chivas W
1 : 1
Toluca W
21 Apr
Juarez W
1 : 1
Guadalajara Chivas W
06 Apr
Tigres UANL W
2 : 2
Guadalajara Chivas W
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Santos Laguna W

(Away)
25 Apr
Santos Laguna W
3 : 0
Queretaro W
05 Apr
Atlas W
1 : 1
Santos Laguna W
03 Apr
Santos Laguna W
1 : 2
Pachuca W
28 Mar
Santos Laguna W
1 : 2
Atletico San Luis W
21 Mar
Juarez W
2 : 0
Santos Laguna W
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Club America W17133144:1342
2Monterrey W17124139:840
3Tigres UANL W17114241:1337
4Pachuca W17113346:1536
5Guadalajara Chivas W1797127:1334
6Toluca W17103438:2633
7Cruz Azul W1794438:1931
8Juarez W1785427:1829
9Club Tijuana W1784531:2328
10UNAM Pumas W1764723:2922
11Atletico San Luis W1763820:3221
12Mazatlan FC W1753919:2718
13Club Leon W1744932:3516
14Atlas W17331122:4012
15Puebla W17321211:4611
16Santos Laguna W17231214:299
17Queretaro W17121411:465
18Necaxa W17111511:624
Promotion - Liga MX Women (Clausura - Play Offs)