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Spain

Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021 Estadio Pedro Escartín

Guadalajara

1 - 3

Madridejos

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 18 2020/2021 game between Guadalajara and Madridejos finished 1-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Madridejos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%

Guadalajara

39%

Draws

31%

Madridejos

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Guadalajara come out ahead of Madridejos on wins alone.
Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%

Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 2.5 Goals 22%

Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 3%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%

Guadalajara Clean Sheet 68%

Madridejos Clean Sheet 16%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guadalajara	Madridejos
Matches Played	33	30
Wins	8	6
Draws	10	5
Losses	15	19
Goals Scored	0.63	0
Goals Conceded	1.38	0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 7, 2021 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Guadalajara vs Madridejos

Possession: 54% - 44% Cards: 2 - 3

1:3

Nov 15, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Madridejos vs Guadalajara

Possession: 41% - 44% Cards: 3 - 3

3:3

Apr 12, 2020 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Madridejos vs Guadalajara

Possession: 59% - 57% Cards: 1 - 1

0:0

Nov 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Guadalajara vs Madridejos

Possession: 49% - 55% Cards: 4 - 1

1:0

Jan 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 18

Madridejos vs Guadalajara

Possession: 57% - 56% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara 41 / 100

Madridejos 31 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guadalajara Madridejos

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)

Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No

Correct Score 1:0

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Madridejos's defensive record shows goals conceded in 87% of 30 matches.

Guadalajara scored in 79% of their last 33 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Guadalajara stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara VS -

0.63 Goals Scored 0

1.38 Goals Conceded 0

63% Over 1.5 0%

25% Over 2.5 0%

13% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Albacete B	20	14	3	3	34:9	45
2	Puertollano C.F.	20	13	5	2	38:13	44
3	Quintanar del Rey	20	10	5	5	31:16	35
4	Manchego Ciudad Real	20	7	8	5	21:17	29
5	La Roda	20	8	4	8	16:22	28
6	Huracan de Balazote	20	7	4	9	22:27	25
7	Atletico Ibanes	20	4	11	5	16:21	23
8	UD Almansa	20	6	5	9	19:25	23
9	Manzanares	20	4	6	10	16:31	18
10	La Solana	20	4	5	11	16:29	17
11	Almagro	20	4	2	14	14:33	14

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Marchamalo	20	14	3	3	25:10	45
2	Toledo	20	11	3	6	31:15	36
3	Torrijos	20	8	8	4	25:18	32
4	Guadalajara	20	9	4	7	27:21	31
5	Villacanas	20	8	6	6	19:16	30
6	CD Tarancon	20	9	2	9	24:19	29
7	Azuqueca	20	8	3	9	22:24	27
8	Illescas	20	6	7	7	18:21	25
9	Conquense	20	6	4	10	16:24	22
10	Madridejos	20	4	3	13	14:35	15
11	CD Pedroneras	20	3	5	12	12:30	14