Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guadalajara vs Pontevedra

Spain Spain

Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 Estadio Pedro Escartín, Guadalajara
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Gomez D.
45' Event
Amigo D.
46'
Sub
Perez L. In: Gomez J.
Out: Perez L.

AI Match Summary

Pontevedra in this Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored Pontevedra.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Guadalajara
39%
Draws
30%
Pontevedra
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Pontevedra have won more games recently than Guadalajara.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32%
Guadalajara Clean Sheet 11%
Pontevedra Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalajara Pontevedra
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 8 11
Draws 8 12
Losses 14 6
Goals Scored 1.38 1.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.38 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 19, 2026 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Guadalajara vs Pontevedra
1:4
Nov 29, 2025 Primera RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Guadalajara
1:1
May 8, 2011 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Pontevedra vs Guadalajara
1:5
Dec 19, 2010 Segunda RFEF - Group 1
Guadalajara vs Pontevedra
1:0
Aug 25, 2010 Copa del Rey
Pontevedra vs Guadalajara
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalajara Compare

Top Goalscorer Amigo D.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.06
Avg xA / game 0.69

Pontevedra Compare

Top Goalscorer Gomez D.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Macias L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalajara 30 / 100
Pontevedra 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalajara Pontevedra

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PON Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadalajara's goal record stands at 77% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Pontevedra's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Solid form: Guadalajara remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guadalajara VS Pontevedra
1.38 Goals Scored 1.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 0.75
75% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalajara

(Home)
23 May
Guadalajara
2 : 2
Real Madrid B
17 May
Ath Bilbao B
2 : 1
Guadalajara
09 May
Guadalajara
2 : 0
Arenteiro
02 May
Real Aviles
2 : 2
Guadalajara
24 Apr
Cacereno
1 : 1
Guadalajara
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Pontevedra

(Away)
29 Jul
Pontevedra
2 : 1
Deportivo Fabril
23 May
Pontevedra
2 : 2
Real Aviles
17 May
Tenerife
3 : 0
Pontevedra
09 May
Pontevedra
4 : 0
Ath Bilbao B
02 May
Racing Club Ferrol
0 : 0
Pontevedra
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Tenerife382210662:2476
2Celta Vigo B381811961:4865
3Zamora3817101153:4261
4Ponferradina381791243:3360
5Real Madrid B3816101261:5258
6Pontevedra381416849:3158
7Barakaldo3815131051:3858
8Unionistas de Salamanca3815111253:4956
9Lugo3813141136:4053
10AD Merida3814101447:5352
11Arenas Getxo381571646:5552
12Racing Club Ferrol3813101541:4749
13Ath Bilbao B3813101538:4649
14Real Aviles3811111655:6744
15Cacereno3810141442:4944
16CF Talavera3811101738:4743
17Ourense CF3810131544:4743
18Guadalajara3810111744:5841
19Osasuna B3810101828:4240
20Arenteiro386102229:5328
Promotion - LaLiga2 (Main)
Promotion - Primera RFEF - Group 1 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)