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Guadalupe vs Cariari Pococi - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Sat, Oct 17, 2026
VS
01:00 AM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guadalupe host Cariari Pococi in the Liga de Ascenso. Little to choose between these two on current form. Cariari Pococi have shipped 1.32 goals a game lately, while Guadalupe have conceded 1.93 and scored 0.97. Head-to-head, Guadalupe have won 1 to Cariari Pococi's 2, with 2 draws. They last met on Aug 29, 2026, ending 3:3. xG projections (1.13 - 1.63) back Cariari Pococi to edge this. The prediction model leans Draw; both defenses could hold firm.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Guadalupe
20%
Draws
40%
Cariari Pococi
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Cariari Pococi lately — more wins on the board than Guadalupe.
  • Guadalupe are the model's pick here, at 36%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 14%
Cariari Pococi Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalupe Cariari Pococi
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 6 8
Draws 8 10
Losses 15 10
Goals Scored 0.97 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.32
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Guadalupe
3:3
Mar 21, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs Cariari Pococi
0:0
Feb 6, 2025 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Guadalupe
3:1
Oct 2, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Cariari Pococi vs Guadalupe
3:1
Aug 29, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs Cariari Pococi
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalupe 35 / 100
Cariari Pococi 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalupe Cariari Pococi

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Cariari Pococi conceded in 82% of 28 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.40 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Guadalupe remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Guadalupe scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guadalupe VS Cariari Pococi
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalupe

(Home)
10 Oct
Carmelita
0 : 2
Guadalupe
04 Oct
Aserri
2 : 3
Guadalupe
27 Sept
Guadalupe
2 : 2
Pitbulls
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

Cariari Pococi

(Away)
11 Oct
Cariari Pococi
1 : 0
FC Moravia
04 Oct
Santa Ana
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
02 Oct
Cariari Pococi
1 : 2
Santa Ana
29 Sept
Cariari Pococi
1 : 1
CS Uruguay
24 Sept
Cariari Pococi
2 : 1
Pitbulls
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 10 7 3 0 18:5 24
2 Quepos FC 10 6 1 3 15:8 19
3 Grecia 9 4 3 2 11:8 15
4 AD Rosario 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
5 AD Sarchi 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
6 Santa Cruz 10 2 0 8 11:22 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 11 8 0 3 19:10 24
2 Pitbulls 11 5 5 1 20:15 20
3 Cariari Pococi 11 4 4 3 12:11 16
4 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
5 Aserri 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 11 3 1 7 12:14 10
8 CS Uruguay 11 2 3 6 9:23 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)