Sport Picks

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Guadalupe vs San Carlos

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Coyella Fonseca, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Rivera R.
14' Event
Morera G. M.
17' Event
Morales E.

AI Match Summary

San Carlos in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Carlos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

4%
Guadalupe
6%
Draws
90%
San Carlos
Draw rate projection: 6% Favored: San Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

95% / Very High Confidence
  • Guadalupe haven't matched San Carlos's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans San Carlos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • San Carlos have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.400000000000006%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 18%
San Carlos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalupe San Carlos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 7
Draws 9 5
Losses 16 17
Goals Scored 0.5 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Guadalupe
4:0
Feb 14, 2026 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs San Carlos
3:4
Oct 25, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Guadalupe
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs San Carlos
2:3
Apr 19, 2023 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs San Carlos
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Morera G. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morales E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

San Carlos Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivera R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalupe 10 / 100
San Carlos 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalupe San Carlos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SCA Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: San Carlos conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Difficult form: San Carlos registered 3 defeats in their last 5 games.

Guadalupe scored in 59% of their last 29 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalupe VS San Carlos
0.5 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalupe

(Home)
26 Apr
Guadalupe
0 : 5
Cartagines
23 Apr
Saprissa
5 : 0
Guadalupe
18 Apr
Guadalupe
1 : 0
Zeledon
13 Apr
San Carlos
4 : 0
Guadalupe
06 Apr
Alajuelense
1 : 1
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

San Carlos

(Away)
26 Jul
San Carlos
0 : 3
Escorpiones
25 Apr
San Carlos
1 : 1
Zeledon
22 Apr
Cartagines
2 : 1
San Carlos
19 Apr
Herediano
1 : 0
San Carlos
13 Apr
San Carlos
4 : 0
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Herediano18122426:1038
2Saprissa18104434:1934
3Liberia18103524:1833
4Cartagines18102626:2032
5Alajuelense1875628:2026
6Sporting FC1864816:2122
7San Carlos1863921:2521
8Puntarenas FC18441022:2916
9Zeledon1828819:3014
10Guadalupe18351013:3714
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)