Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guadalupe vs San Carlos

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2025/2026 Estadio Coyella Fonseca, San José
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Rivera R.
14' Event
Morera G. M.
17' Event
Morales E.

AI Match Summary

San Carlos in this Primera Division 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-4 — backing the pre-match view that favored San Carlos.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

7%
Guadalupe
15%
Draws
78%
San Carlos
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: San Carlos

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / Very High Confidence
  • Guadalupe haven't matched San Carlos's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans San Carlos's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • San Carlos have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 16%
San Carlos Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalupe San Carlos
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 4 10
Draws 7 4
Losses 18 15
Goals Scored 0.79 1.03
Goals Conceded 2.07 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Guadalupe
4:0
Feb 14, 2026 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs San Carlos
3:4
Oct 25, 2025 Primera Division
San Carlos vs Guadalupe
1:1
Sep 12, 2025 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs San Carlos
2:3
Apr 19, 2023 Primera Division
Guadalupe vs San Carlos
2:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadalupe Compare

Top Goalscorer Morera G. M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Morales E.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

San Carlos Compare

Top Goalscorer Rivera R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Martinez B.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalupe 10 / 100
San Carlos 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalupe San Carlos

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick San Carlos Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Defensive concern: San Carlos conceded in 62% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Guadalupe scored in 48% of their last 29 outings.

Guadalupe went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guadalupe VS San Carlos
1 Goals Scored 0.75
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.25
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalupe

(Home)
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
06 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 1
CS Uruguay
29 Aug
Cariari Pococi
3 : 3
Guadalupe
25 Aug
Guadalupe
0 : 1
Carmelita
Page 1 of 6

San Carlos

(Away)
12 Sept
Zeledon
0 : 2
San Carlos
07 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Sporting FC
30 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 2
Puntarenas FC
24 Aug
Alajuelense
0 : 1
San Carlos
15 Aug
San Carlos
1 : 0
Herediano
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 18 12 2 4 26:10 38
2 Saprissa 18 10 4 4 34:19 34
3 Liberia 18 10 3 5 24:18 33
4 Cartagines 18 10 2 6 26:20 32
5 Alajuelense 18 7 5 6 28:20 26
6 Sporting FC 18 6 4 8 16:21 22
7 San Carlos 18 6 3 9 21:25 21
8 Puntarenas FC 18 4 4 10 22:29 16
9 Zeledon 18 2 8 8 19:30 14
10 Guadalupe 18 3 5 10 13:37 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)
Promotion - Primera Division 2025/2026 (Clausura - Play Offs)