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Guadalupe vs Santa Ana - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Liga de Ascenso
Sun, Nov 1, 2026
VS
09:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guadalupe host Santa Ana in the Liga de Ascenso. This matchup has a clear pattern when you look at past meetings. Santa Ana have shipped 1.6 goals a game lately, while Guadalupe have conceded 1.93 and scored 0.97. Head-to-head, Guadalupe have won 1 to Santa Ana's 4, with 0 draws. They last met on Sep 13, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 1.63, favoring Santa Ana. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Guadalupe
15%
Draws
48%
Santa Ana
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Santa Ana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Guadalupe haven't matched Santa Ana's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Santa Ana's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Regular Liga de Ascenso form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Santa Ana have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.2%
Guadalupe Clean Sheet 14%
Santa Ana Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadalupe Santa Ana
Matches Played 29 25
Wins 6 11
Draws 8 3
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 0.97 1.52
Goals Conceded 1.93 1.6
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 13, 2026 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Ana vs Guadalupe
2:1
Mar 5, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Ana vs Guadalupe
0:1
Jan 23, 2024 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs Santa Ana
0:2
Sep 17, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Guadalupe vs Santa Ana
1:3
Aug 5, 2023 Liga de Ascenso
Santa Ana vs Guadalupe
3:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadalupe 23 / 100
Santa Ana 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadalupe Santa Ana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santa Ana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Santa Ana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 25 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Guadalupe has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Attacking prowess: Guadalupe scored in 55% of their last 29 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guadalupe VS Santa Ana
1 Goals Scored 1.25
2 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 63%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadalupe

(Home)
10 Oct
Carmelita
0 : 2
Guadalupe
04 Oct
Aserri
2 : 3
Guadalupe
27 Sept
Guadalupe
2 : 2
Pitbulls
19 Sept
Guadalupe
0 : 3
FC Moravia
13 Sept
Santa Ana
2 : 1
Guadalupe
Page 1 of 6

Santa Ana

(Away)
10 Oct
CS Uruguay
0 : 5
Santa Ana
04 Oct
Santa Ana
1 : 0
Cariari Pococi
02 Oct
Cariari Pococi
1 : 2
Santa Ana
26 Sept
Carmelita
1 : 0
Santa Ana
20 Sept
Aserri
1 : 0
Santa Ana
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League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 ADR Jicaral 10 7 3 0 18:5 24
2 Quepos FC 10 6 1 3 15:8 19
3 Grecia 9 4 3 2 11:8 15
4 AD Rosario 9 4 2 3 13:12 14
5 AD Sarchi 9 3 2 4 9:13 11
6 Santa Cruz 10 2 0 8 11:22 6
7 Cofutpa 9 1 1 7 8:17 4
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Santa Ana 11 8 0 3 19:10 24
2 Pitbulls 11 5 5 1 20:15 20
3 Cariari Pococi 11 4 4 3 12:11 16
4 Carmelita 11 4 3 4 19:13 15
5 Aserri 11 4 3 4 12:13 15
6 Guadalupe 11 3 3 5 15:19 12
7 FC Moravia 11 3 1 7 12:14 10
8 CS Uruguay 11 2 3 6 9:23 9
Promotion - Liga de Ascenso (Apertura - Play Offs)