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Guadeloupe vs Bermuda - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

North & Central America North & Central America

CONCACAF Nations League
Mon, Nov 16, 2026
VS
07:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guadeloupe host Bermuda in the CONCACAF Nations League. This has the makings of an open, high-scoring game. Bermuda have shipped 2.5 goals a game lately, while Guadeloupe have conceded 1.14 and scored 1.72. Past meetings favor Guadeloupe slightly — 1-0-0 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Sep 25, 2026, ending 1:2. Model xG sits at 2.15 vs 1.91, favoring Guadeloupe. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Guadeloupe
15%
Draws
0%
Bermuda
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadeloupe

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Bermuda haven't matched Guadeloupe's recent run of results.
  • Guadeloupe are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 85%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 93%
Over 2.5 Goals 85%
Over 3.5 Goals 59%
Over 4.5 Goals 27%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Guadeloupe Clean Sheet 10%
Bermuda Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadeloupe Bermuda
Matches Played 29 32
Wins 14 9
Draws 3 5
Losses 12 18
Goals Scored 1.72 1.41
Goals Conceded 1.14 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.15 1.91
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 25, 2026 CONCACAF Nations League
Bermuda vs Guadeloupe
1:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadeloupe 83 / 100
Bermuda 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadeloupe Bermuda

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guadeloupe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Bermuda let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.

Away concern: Bermuda has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Guadeloupe found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Scoring Trends

Guadeloupe VS Bermuda
1.29 Goals Scored 1.38
2.43 Goals Conceded 3
86% Over 1.5 100%
86% Over 2.5 100%
43% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadeloupe

(Home)
05 Oct
Guadeloupe
0 : 1
Saint Lucia
02 Oct
Saint Lucia
3 : 0
Guadeloupe
28 Sept
Guadeloupe
2 : 2
Barbados
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2
Guadeloupe
24 Jun
Guadeloupe
2 : 3
Guatemala
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Bermuda

(Away)
06 Oct
Bermuda
1 : 2
Barbados
03 Oct
Barbados
4 : 1
Bermuda
29 Sept
Saint Lucia
5 : 2
Bermuda
25 Sept
Bermuda
1 : 2
Guadeloupe
06 Jun
Cape Verde
3 : 0
Bermuda
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