Sport Picks
Guadeloupe vs Guatemala
North & Central America
Gold Cup Shell Energy Stadium, Houston, TX 
Match Events
12'
12'
Baron A.
13'
13'
Pinto J.
(Penalty)
30'
30'
Escobar O.
Assist: Rubin R.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 2-3. The second leg ended 2-3.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
57%
15%
28%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Guadeloupe
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
57%
/ Medium Confidence
- Look at the last few games and Guadeloupe come out ahead of Guatemala on wins alone.
- 57% — that's where the model lands on Guadeloupe taking it.
- Guadeloupe have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Guatemala, who have won 2 of the last 3 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Guatemala here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 40%
Over 4.5 Goals 18%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Guadeloupe Clean Sheet 10%
Guatemala Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guadeloupe | Guatemala |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 29 |
| Wins | 16 | 11 |
| Draws | 2 | 5 |
| Losses | 11 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 1.76 | 1.31 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.72 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.52 | 2.17 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Jun 24, 2025 Gold Cup
Guadeloupe vs Guatemala
2:3
Jul 4, 2023 Gold Cup
Guadeloupe vs Guatemala
2:3
Jul 7, 2021 Gold Cup
Guatemala vs Guadeloupe
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guadeloupe Compare
Top Goalscorer Phaeton M.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.17
Avg xA / game 0.76
Guatemala Compare
Top Goalscorer Escobar O.
1 Goals Assists Leader Rubin R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.97
Avg xA / game 1.21
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guadeloupe 83 / 100
Guatemala 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guadeloupe Guatemala
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Guadeloupe Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Guatemala's defensive record shows goals conceded in 86% of 29 matches.
H2H data points to 4.33 goals as a typical output.
Guadeloupe's goal record stands at 76% scoring rate across 29 recent games.
Away concern: Guatemala has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Guadeloupe VS Guatemala
1.67 Goals Scored 1
3.33 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 63%
100% Over 2.5 50%
67% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Guadeloupe
(Home) 24 Jun
Guadeloupe
2 : 3 Guatemala
20 Jun
Jamaica
2 : 1 Guadeloupe
16 Jun
Panama
5 : 2 Guadeloupe
26 Mar
Nicaragua
0 : 1 Guadeloupe
22 Mar
Guadeloupe
1 : 0 Nicaragua
Page 1 of 6
24 Jun
Guadeloupe
2 : 3 Guatemala
22 Mar
Guadeloupe
1 : 0 Nicaragua
19 Nov
Guadeloupe
1 : 0 Cayman Islands
11 Oct
Guadeloupe
0 : 1 Martinique
09 Sept
Guadeloupe
1 : 0 Suriname
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Guatemala
(Away) 07 Jun
Ecuador
3 : 0 Guatemala
05 Jun
Czech Republic
3 : 1 Guatemala
27 Mar
Algeria
7 : 0 Guatemala
18 Jan
Canada
1 : 0 Guatemala
19 Nov
Guatemala
3 : 1 Suriname
Page 1 of 6
07 Jun
Ecuador
3 : 0 Guatemala
05 Jun
Czech Republic
3 : 1 Guatemala
27 Mar
Algeria
7 : 0 Guatemala
18 Jan
Canada
1 : 0 Guatemala
15 Oct
El Salvador
0 : 1 Guatemala
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mexico | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 5:2 | 7 |
| 2 | Costa Rica | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 6:4 | 7 |
| 3 | Dominican Republic | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:5 | 1 |
| 4 | Suriname | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3:6 | 1 |
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Canada | 3 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 9:1 | 7 |
| 2 | Honduras | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:7 | 6 |
| 3 | Curacao | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:3 | 2 |
| 4 | El Salvador | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 0:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 3)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Panama | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 10:3 | 9 |
| 2 | Guatemala | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 4:3 | 6 |
| 3 | Jamaica | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 3:6 | 3 |
| 4 | Guadeloupe | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 5:10 | 0 |
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 4)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | USA | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 9 |
| 2 | Saudi Arabia | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 2:2 | 4 |
| 3 | Trinidad & Tobago | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 2:7 | 2 |
| 4 | Haiti | 3 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2:4 | 1 |
Promotion - Gold Cup 2023 (Play Offs)
