Sport Picks

North & Central America

Gold Cup Women

Saint Lucia W

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Guadeloupe W play Saint Lucia W in the Gold Cup Women. Saint Lucia W are favorites here. Recently, Guadeloupe W averaged 0.29 goals scored and 6 conceded. Saint Lucia W averaged 1.59 goals scored and 3.79 conceded. In past meetings, Guadeloupe W won 0, Saint Lucia W won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 1, 2023 ended 5:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 2.44 for Guadeloupe W and 2.75 for Saint Lucia W. This points to a Saint Lucia W double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

19%

Guadeloupe W

15%

Draws

66%

Saint Lucia W

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Saint Lucia W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

92% / Very High Confidence

Guadeloupe W picked up more points recently compared to Saint Lucia W.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (2.44 vs 2.75 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 92%

Over 2.5 Goals 89%

Over 3.5 Goals 53%

Over 4.5 Goals 27%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 53%

Guadeloupe W Clean Sheet 10%

Saint Lucia W Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 83%

Second Half Goal 87%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Guadeloupe W	Saint Lucia W
Matches Played	7	29
Wins	0	8
Draws	0	2
Losses	7	19
Goals Scored	0.29	1.59
Goals Conceded	6	3.79
Expected Goals (xG)	0.50	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	3.75	4.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 1, 2023 Gold Cup Women

Saint Lucia W vs Guadeloupe W

Possession: 50% - 45% Cards: 4 - 2

5:1

Sep 26, 2023 Gold Cup Women

Guadeloupe W vs Saint Lucia W

Possession: 55% - 50% Cards: 1 - 2

1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guadeloupe W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lepante J.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 0.38

Avg xA / game 0.25

Saint Lucia W Compare

Top Goalscorer Louis A.

4 Goals

Assists Leader Marquis E.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadeloupe W 19 / 100

Saint Lucia W 61 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Guadeloupe W Saint Lucia W

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Saint Lucia W Win (2)

Secondary Pick Saint Lucia W & Over 2.5

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +72.7%

9.09

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +6.8%

1.20

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guadeloupe W attacking → ← attacking Saint Lucia W

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadeloupe W scored in 29% of their last 7 games.

Saint Lucia W let in goals in 90% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 6.00 goals.

Guadeloupe W went unbeaten in 0 of their last 5 games.

Saint Lucia W lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

0 Points in last 5 26

0.50 Goals expected (xG) 1.75

3.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 4.38