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Guadix vs CD Alhaurino

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019
Guadix Logo

Guadix

0 - 3
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CD Alhaurino Logo

CD Alhaurino

Our Tip
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 game between Guadix and CD Alhaurino finished 0-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward CD Alhaurino.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

12%
Guadix
30%
Draws
58%
CD Alhaurino
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: CD Alhaurino

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and CD Alhaurino come out ahead of Guadix on wins alone.
  • Model gives CD Alhaurino a 58% chance of winning this.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 33.6%
Guadix Clean Sheet 23%
CD Alhaurino Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadix CD Alhaurino
Matches Played 30 35
Wins 3 12
Draws 7 11
Losses 20 12
Goals Scored 0.9 1.26
Goals Conceded 2.73 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.23 0.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 17, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs CD Alhaurino
0:3
Oct 12, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Guadix
0:2
Jan 15, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs CD Alhaurino
1:2
Sep 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
CD Alhaurino vs Guadix
1:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadix 10 / 100
CD Alhaurino 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadix CD Alhaurino

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CD Alhaurino Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guadix's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

CD Alhaurino has conceded goals in 71% of their last 35 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Guadix stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS CD Alhaurino
0 Goals Scored 0.88
0 Goals Conceded 1.25
0% Over 1.5 75%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guadix

(Home)
19 May
Antequera
6 : 1
Guadix
12 May
Guadix
0 : 3
Torremolinos
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1
Guadix
27 Apr
Guadix
2 : 2
El Palo
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0
Guadix
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CD Alhaurino

(Away)
27 Sept
Motril
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
20 Sept
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1
Churriana de la Vega
13 Sept
Almeria B
2 : 0
CD Alhaurino
06 Sept
CD Alhaurino
0 : 0
Granada CF B
10 May
CD Alhaurino
1 : 1
Mancha
Page 1 of 7

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Jaen 42 32 5 5 99:32 101
2 Linares 42 27 6 9 79:32 87
3 Antequera 42 24 10 8 90:35 82
4 El Palo 42 24 9 9 65:34 81
5 Velez 42 18 14 10 56:40 68
6 Motril 42 20 8 14 79:59 68
7 Loja 42 18 8 16 68:64 62
8 Mancha 42 16 12 14 59:52 60
9 Alhaurin 42 16 11 15 73:69 59
10 Ciudad de Torredonjimeno 42 16 10 16 74:59 58
11 CD Torreperogil 42 16 10 16 43:52 58
12 Huetor Vega 42 16 9 17 56:65 57
13 Huetor Tajar 42 15 12 15 65:55 57
14 CP Almeria 42 15 12 15 53:57 57
15 CD Alhaurino 42 14 14 14 72:66 56
16 Torremolinos 42 15 8 19 57:65 53
17 Rincon 42 14 10 18 45:63 52
18 Martos 42 12 8 22 41:70 44
19 Atarfe Industrial 42 12 6 24 49:79 42
20 UD San Pedro 42 11 8 23 48:75 41
21 Guadix 42 8 11 23 44:95 35
22 River Melilla 42 2 1 39 28:125 4
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)