Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 matchup, with the score ending 2-2.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
16%
20%
64%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: El Palo
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Guadix haven't matched El Palo's recent run of results.
- El Palo are the model's pick here, at 90%.
- Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2018/2019 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Guadix Clean Sheet 20%
El Palo Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guadix | El Palo |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 32 |
| Wins | 3 | 7 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 20 | 18 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 0.91 |
| Goals Conceded | 2.73 | 1.59 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.42 | 0.93 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 27, 2019 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs El Palo
2:2
Dec 5, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Guadix
1:0
Feb 24, 2018 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs El Palo
2:1
Oct 8, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
El Palo vs Guadix
2:0
Mar 19, 2017 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs El Palo
0:0
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guadix 10 / 100
El Palo 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guadix El Palo
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick El Palo Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
El Palo let in goals in 84% of their last 32 matches.
Guadix found the back of the net in 67% of recent matches (30 games).
Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.
El Palo lost 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
- VS El Palo
0 Goals Scored 0.75
0 Goals Conceded 1.63
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Guadix
(Home) 19 May
Antequera
6 : 1 Guadix
12 May
Guadix
0 : 3 Torremolinos
05 May
Alhaurin
5 : 1 Guadix
27 Apr
Guadix
2 : 2 El Palo
14 Apr
Motril
5 : 0 Guadix
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12 May
Guadix
0 : 3 Torremolinos
27 Apr
Guadix
2 : 2 El Palo
07 Apr
Guadix
2 : 3 CP Almeria
24 Mar
Guadix
1 : 0 Mancha
10 Mar
Guadix
1 : 1 Huetor Tajar
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El Palo
(Away) 10 May
El Palo
0 : 2 Churriana de la Vega
03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2 El Palo
25 Apr
El Palo
1 : 2 Atletico de Porcuna
19 Apr
Torre del Mar
1 : 1 El Palo
12 Apr
El Palo
0 : 1 Motril
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03 May
CD Torreperogil
0 : 2 El Palo
19 Apr
Torre del Mar
1 : 1 El Palo
29 Mar
CD Alhaurino
2 : 1 El Palo
15 Mar
Granada CF B
1 : 0 El Palo
01 Mar
Huetor Tajar
2 : 1 El Palo
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jaen | 42 | 32 | 5 | 5 | 99:32 | 101 |
| 2 | Linares | 42 | 27 | 6 | 9 | 79:32 | 87 |
| 3 | Antequera | 42 | 24 | 10 | 8 | 90:35 | 82 |
| 4 | El Palo | 42 | 24 | 9 | 9 | 65:34 | 81 |
| 5 | Velez | 42 | 18 | 14 | 10 | 56:40 | 68 |
| 6 | Motril | 42 | 20 | 8 | 14 | 79:59 | 68 |
| 7 | Loja | 42 | 18 | 8 | 16 | 68:64 | 62 |
| 8 | Mancha | 42 | 16 | 12 | 14 | 59:52 | 60 |
| 9 | Alhaurin | 42 | 16 | 11 | 15 | 73:69 | 59 |
| 10 | Ciudad de Torredonjimeno | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 74:59 | 58 |
| 11 | CD Torreperogil | 42 | 16 | 10 | 16 | 43:52 | 58 |
| 12 | Huetor Vega | 42 | 16 | 9 | 17 | 56:65 | 57 |
| 13 | Huetor Tajar | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 65:55 | 57 |
| 14 | CP Almeria | 42 | 15 | 12 | 15 | 53:57 | 57 |
| 15 | CD Alhaurino | 42 | 14 | 14 | 14 | 72:66 | 56 |
| 16 | Torremolinos | 42 | 15 | 8 | 19 | 57:65 | 53 |
| 17 | Rincon | 42 | 14 | 10 | 18 | 45:63 | 52 |
| 18 | Martos | 42 | 12 | 8 | 22 | 41:70 | 44 |
| 19 | Atarfe Industrial | 42 | 12 | 6 | 24 | 49:79 | 42 |
| 20 | UD San Pedro | 42 | 11 | 8 | 23 | 48:75 | 41 |
| 21 | Guadix | 42 | 8 | 11 | 23 | 44:95 | 35 |
| 22 | River Melilla | 42 | 2 | 1 | 39 | 28:125 | 4 |
Promotion - Tercera Division - Play Offs (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
Promotion - Tercera Division - Promotion Play Offs 2018/2019 (Main)
