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Guadix vs Espanol Alquian

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Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015
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AI Match Summary

The Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 game between Guadix and Espanol Alquian finished 2-2.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Guadix
20%
Draws
38%
Espanol Alquian
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guadix

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Guadix carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Guadix's way, sitting at 42%.
  • Regular Tercera Division - Group 9 2014/2015 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63.8%
Guadix Clean Sheet 10%
Espanol Alquian Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guadix Espanol Alquian
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 5 1
Draws 7 0
Losses 20 29
Goals Scored 1.25 0
Goals Conceded 3 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 10, 2016 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Espanol Alquian vs Guadix
0:3
Nov 22, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Espanol Alquian
3:0
Feb 8, 2015 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Guadix vs Espanol Alquian
2:2
Sep 28, 2014 Tercera RFEF - Group 9
Espanol Alquian vs Guadix
4:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guadix 40 / 100
Espanol Alquian 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guadix Espanol Alquian

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Espanol Alquian conceded in 100% of 30 recent games.

These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Espanol Alquian has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Attacking prowess: Guadix scored in 69% of their last 32 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guadix VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
3 Goals Conceded 0
88% Over 1.5 0%
75% Over 2.5 0%
50% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Linares38277488:2688
2Malaga B38236969:3675
3UD San Pedro382110765:3573
4Martos382251166:4271
5Loja38209955:3669
6Huetor Tajar3817111053:3762
7Los Villares3815131043:3758
8Maracena381691366:5257
9Guadix381118949:4951
10Mancha3813111436:3450
11Velez3813101549:4749
12Espanol Alquian381461853:7048
13Ejido381381755:7547
14CD Ronda381271952:6343
15Antequera3810121651:5542
16Alhaurin381181943:7441
17Atarfe Industrial389101953:7037
18Villacarrillo38872332:6431
19Atletico Melilla38792229:5830
20Los Molinos CF38682432:7926