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Guairena FC vs Deportivo Capiata

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia Estadio Parque del Guairá
Our Tip

Match Events

42' Event
Benitez J.
70' Event
Paredes C.
(Penalty)
72' Event
Munoz A.

AI Match Summary

The Division Intermedia game between Guairena FC and Deportivo Capiata finished 3-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guairena FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Guairena FC
30%
Draws
34%
Deportivo Capiata
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guairena FC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guairena FC come out ahead of Deportivo Capiata on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Guairena FC's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Deportivo Capiata here — 2 wins from the last 3 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 38%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.4%
Guairena FC Clean Sheet 20%
Deportivo Capiata Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guairena FC Deportivo Capiata
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 11
Draws 6 12
Losses 11 6
Goals Scored 1.13 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.75 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 1, 2026 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Deportivo Capiata
3:1
Jul 6, 2025 Division Intermedia
Deportivo Capiata vs Guairena FC
1:0
Mar 29, 2025 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Deportivo Capiata
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guairena FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Munoz A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Monges A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Deportivo Capiata Compare

Top Goalscorer Benitez J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.36
Avg xA / game 0.83

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guairena FC 36 / 100
Deportivo Capiata 34 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guairena FC Deportivo Capiata

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guairena FC found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Deportivo Capiata let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Guairena FC has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guairena FC VS Deportivo Capiata
1.13 Goals Scored 1.5
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.88
63% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
112 de Junio15103222:1133
2Benjamin Aceval1484224:1328
3General Caballero JLM1583430:2127
4Deportivo Santani1473418:1124
5Sol de America1457217:1222
6Atletico Tembetary1463523:2021
7Deportivo Capiata1456321:1821
8Guairena FC1463516:1721
9Independiente FBC1455421:1920
10Resistencia1446416:1818
11Sportivo Carapegua1444616:2616
12Fernando de la Mora1443715:2215
13Tacuary1427519:2313
14Paraguari AC1424812:1810
15Encarnacion FC14221013:228
163 de Noviembre1407712:247