Sport Picks
Guairena FC vs Independiente FBC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Paraguay
Division Intermedia Estadio Parque del Guairá, Villarrica 
Match Events
16'
16'
Rogelio E.
28'
28'
Heinze J.
72'
72'
Roa R.
AI Match Summary
The Division Intermedia game between Guairena FC and Independiente FBC finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Independiente FBC.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
21%
15%
64%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Independiente FBC
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Guairena FC haven't matched Independiente FBC's recent run of results.
- Win probability leans Independiente FBC's way, sitting at 90%.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 32.8%
Guairena FC Clean Sheet 11%
Independiente FBC Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Guairena FC | Independiente FBC |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 30 | 30 |
| Wins | 8 | 13 |
| Draws | 7 | 10 |
| Losses | 15 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.9 | 1.57 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.37 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.00 | 1.81 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 15, 2026 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Independiente FBC
1:2
Apr 26, 2026 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Guairena FC
2:0
Aug 9, 2025 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Independiente FBC
4:2
May 3, 2025 Division Intermedia
Independiente FBC vs Guairena FC
0:0
Jul 13, 2024 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Independiente FBC
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Guairena FC Compare
Top Goalscorer Heinze J.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5
Independiente FBC Compare
Top Goalscorer Rogelio E.
1 Goals Assists Leader Roa R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.65
Avg xA / game 1.01
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Guairena FC 10 / 100
Independiente FBC 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Guairena FC Independiente FBC
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Independiente FBC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Independiente FBC has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.
These sides typically produce 2.80 goals when they meet.
Guairena FC's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.
Guairena FC went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Guairena FC VS Independiente FBC
0.88 Goals Scored 1.5
2.13 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 38%
Recent Form & Match History
Guairena FC
(Home) 10 Oct
Guairena FC
1 : 0 Encarnacion FC
06 Oct
Deportivo Santani
1 : 0 Guairena FC
28 Sept
Guairena FC
0 : 2 Fernando de la Mora
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1 Guairena FC
18 Sept
3 de Noviembre
1 : 1 Guairena FC
Page 1 of 6
10 Oct
Guairena FC
1 : 0 Encarnacion FC
28 Sept
Guairena FC
0 : 2 Fernando de la Mora
12 Sept
Guairena FC
0 : 3 General Caballero JLM
30 Aug
Guairena FC
0 : 1 Sol de America
27 Aug
Guairena FC
3 : 2 12 de Octubre
Page 1 of 3
Independiente FBC
(Away) 10 Oct
Independiente FBC
3 : 0 Atletico Tembetary
06 Oct
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 3 Independiente FBC
30 Sept
Independiente FBC
3 : 2 Nacional Asuncion
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1 Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
12 de Junio
0 : 4 Independiente FBC
Page 1 of 6
06 Oct
Benjamin Aceval
2 : 3 Independiente FBC
20 Sept
12 de Junio
0 : 4 Independiente FBC
09 Sept
Deportivo Santani
1 : 2 Independiente FBC
28 Aug
3 de Noviembre
5 : 2 Independiente FBC
15 Aug
Guairena FC
1 : 2 Independiente FBC
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Deportivo Santani | 27 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 46:25 | 54 |
| 2 | General Caballero JLM | 27 | 16 | 5 | 6 | 54:33 | 53 |
| 3 | 12 de Junio | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 36:27 | 50 |
| 4 | Independiente FBC | 28 | 11 | 10 | 7 | 43:35 | 43 |
| 5 | Benjamin Aceval | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 42:35 | 42 |
| 6 | Sportivo Carapegua | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 36:41 | 42 |
| 7 | Sol de America | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 35:29 | 41 |
| 8 | Paraguari AC | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 40:37 | 41 |
| 9 | Atletico Tembetary | 28 | 10 | 6 | 12 | 39:45 | 36 |
| 10 | Resistencia | 27 | 9 | 8 | 10 | 31:32 | 35 |
| 11 | Fernando de la Mora | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 32:40 | 34 |
| 12 | 3 de Noviembre | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36:42 | 29 |
| 13 | Deportivo Capiata | 27 | 6 | 11 | 10 | 31:37 | 29 |
| 14 | Guairena FC | 28 | 7 | 7 | 14 | 23:36 | 28 |
| 15 | Tacuary | 28 | 4 | 12 | 12 | 32:47 | 24 |
| 16 | Encarnacion FC | 28 | 6 | 4 | 18 | 25:40 | 22 |
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)
