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Guairena FC vs Sportivo Carapegua - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia Estadio Parque del Guairá, Villarrica
Fri, Oct 23, 2026
VS
07:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guairena FC host Sportivo Carapegua in the Division Intermedia. This looks like a genuine coin-flip fixture. Guairena FC have averaged 0.86 scored and 1.24 conceded recently, against Sportivo Carapegua's 1.28 scored and 1.48 conceded. Past meetings favor Sportivo Carapegua slightly — 0-1-4 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Jul 18, 2026, ending 2:1. Model xG sits at 0.69 vs 1.81, favoring Sportivo Carapegua. Away (2) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

22%
Guairena FC
20%
Draws
58%
Sportivo Carapegua
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Sportivo Carapegua

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

58% / Medium Confidence
  • Sportivo Carapegua carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Sportivo Carapegua a 58% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.8%
Guairena FC Clean Sheet 11%
Sportivo Carapegua Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guairena FC Sportivo Carapegua
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 7 6
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.86 1.28
Goals Conceded 1.24 1.48
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 18, 2026 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Guairena FC
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Guairena FC
3:3
May 8, 2025 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:1
Sep 21, 2024 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Sportivo Carapegua
1:1
Jun 15, 2024 Division Intermedia
Sportivo Carapegua vs Guairena FC
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guairena FC 14 / 100
Sportivo Carapegua 67 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guairena FC Sportivo Carapegua

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Sportivo Carapegua Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Sportivo Carapegua conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

These sides typically produce 2.60 goals when they meet.

Guairena FC found the back of the net in 55% of recent matches (29 games).

Guairena FC has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Guairena FC VS Sportivo Carapegua
0.5 Goals Scored 1.63
2 Goals Conceded 0.88
75% Over 1.5 63%
50% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guairena FC

(Home)
19 Oct
12 de Junio
2 : 0
Guairena FC
10 Oct
Guairena FC
1 : 0
Encarnacion FC
06 Oct
Deportivo Santani
1 : 0
Guairena FC
28 Sept
Guairena FC
0 : 2
Fernando de la Mora
24 Sept
Recoleta
3 : 1
Guairena FC
Page 1 of 6

Sportivo Carapegua

(Away)
16 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 2
Resistencia
09 Oct
Sol de America
2 : 4
Sportivo Carapegua
02 Oct
Sportivo Carapegua
1 : 1
Deportivo Capiata
25 Sept
Independiente FBC
0 : 1
Sportivo Carapegua
20 Sept
Sportivo Carapegua
0 : 0
Tacuary
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Deportivo Santani 29 18 3 8 49:27 57
2 General Caballero JLM 29 17 5 7 58:37 56
3 12 de Junio 29 15 9 5 39:28 54
4 Sol de America 29 10 14 5 36:29 44
5 Paraguari AC 29 13 5 11 42:37 44
6 Independiente FBC 29 11 10 8 45:38 43
7 Benjamin Aceval 29 12 6 11 43:39 42
8 Sportivo Carapegua 29 12 6 11 37:43 42
9 Resistencia 29 10 9 10 34:34 39
10 Atletico Tembetary 29 10 6 13 40:47 36
11 Deportivo Capiata 29 8 11 10 36:39 35
12 Fernando de la Mora 29 9 7 13 32:42 34
13 3 de Noviembre 29 7 8 14 36:44 29
14 Guairena FC 29 7 7 15 23:38 28
15 Tacuary 29 5 12 12 35:49 27
16 Encarnacion FC 29 7 4 18 28:42 25
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)