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Guairena FC vs Tacuary

Paraguay Paraguay

Division Intermedia Estadio Parque del Guairá, Villarrica
Our Tip

Match Events

52' Event
Salcedo J.
65' Event
Paredes C.

AI Match Summary

Guairena FC in this Division Intermedia matchup, with the score ending 2-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guairena FC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Guairena FC
39%
Draws
30%
Tacuary
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Guairena FC lately — more wins on the board than Tacuary.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • History favors Guairena FC here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 69%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Guairena FC Clean Sheet 16%
Tacuary Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guairena FC Tacuary
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 5
Draws 8 11
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.13 1.88
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 18, 2026 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Tacuary
2:0
Aug 29, 2025 Division Intermedia
Tacuary vs Guairena FC
0:1
May 26, 2025 Division Intermedia
Guairena FC vs Tacuary
1:0
Oct 18, 2023 Copa de Primera
Tacuary vs Guairena FC
1:3
Jul 30, 2023 Copa de Primera
Guairena FC vs Tacuary
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guairena FC Compare

Top Goalscorer Salcedo J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Paredes C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Tacuary Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guairena FC 31 / 100
Tacuary 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guairena FC Tacuary

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick TAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Tacuary conceded in 83% of 30 recent games.

Guairena FC's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Historical meetings average 2.20 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Guairena FC stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guairena FC VS Tacuary
1.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
63% Over 1.5 75%
50% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Guairena FC

(Home)
01 Aug
Guairena FC
0 : 0
Atletico Tembetary
27 Jul
Benjamin Aceval
1 : 1
Guairena FC
18 Jul
Sportivo Carapegua
2 : 1
Guairena FC
12 Jul
Guairena FC
0 : 1
12 de Junio
06 Jul
Encarnacion FC
1 : 2
Guairena FC
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Tacuary

(Away)
01 Aug
Resistencia
3 : 1
Tacuary
25 Jul
Tacuary
1 : 1
Sol de America
20 Jul
Tacuary
0 : 0
Deportivo Capiata
13 Jul
Independiente FBC
2 : 2
Tacuary
03 Jul
Paraguari AC
0 : 1
Tacuary
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 12 de Junio 17 11 4 2 24:12 37
2 General Caballero JLM 17 10 3 4 34:22 33
3 Benjamin Aceval 17 9 5 3 27:16 32
4 Deportivo Santani 17 9 3 5 23:14 30
5 Sol de America 17 5 10 2 20:15 25
6 Resistencia 17 6 6 5 20:21 24
7 Deportivo Capiata 16 5 8 3 22:19 23
8 Atletico Tembetary 17 6 5 6 24:22 23
9 Guairena FC 17 6 5 6 18:20 23
10 Independiente FBC 17 5 7 5 25:24 22
11 Fernando de la Mora 17 5 5 7 19:25 20
12 Sportivo Carapegua 16 5 4 7 19:29 19
13 Tacuary 17 2 9 6 21:27 15
14 Paraguari AC 16 3 4 9 15:22 13
15 Encarnacion FC 17 3 3 11 15:24 12
16 3 de Noviembre 16 0 7 9 13:27 7
Promotion - Copa de Primera 2027 (Apertura)