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Guajara vs Morumbi FC

Brazil Brazil

Campeonato Rondoniense 2016
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Rondoniense 2016 game between Guajara and Morumbi FC finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guajara.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Guajara
22%
Draws
18%
Morumbi FC
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Guajara

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Morumbi FC haven't matched Guajara's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Guajara's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Campeonato Rondoniense 2016 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67%
Guajara Clean Sheet 18%
Morumbi FC Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guajara Morumbi FC
Matches Played 31 14
Wins 8 2
Draws 9 3
Losses 14 9
Goals Scored 0.75 0
Goals Conceded 1.63 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 22, 2016 Rondoniense
Guajara vs Morumbi FC
1:0
Mar 26, 2016 Rondoniense
Morumbi FC vs Guajara
2:2

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guajara 58 / 100
Morumbi FC 19 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guajara Morumbi FC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Morumbi FC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 14 matches.

Games between these two average 2.50 goals.

Away concern: Morumbi FC has suffered 4 losses in 5 recent matches.

Guajara scored in 55% of their last 31 games.

Scoring Trends

Guajara VS -
0.75 Goals Scored 0
1.63 Goals Conceded 0
63% Over 1.5 0%
38% Over 2.5 0%
38% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guajara

(Home)
15 Mar
Guajara
0 : 3
Genus
14 Mar
Porto Velho
2 : 0
Guajara
08 Mar
Guajara
0 : 1
Real Ariquemes
23 Feb
CA Rondoniense
3 : 0
Guajara
15 Feb
Genus
2 : 0
Guajara
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Morumbi FC

(Away)
08 Jun
Morumbi FC
0 : 5
CA Rondoniense
05 Jun
Real Ariquemes
7 : 0
Morumbi FC
31 May
Genus
6 : 0
Morumbi FC
28 May
Morumbi FC
3 : 0
Rolim de Moura
22 May
Guajara
1 : 0
Morumbi FC
Page 1 of 3

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1CA Rondoniense743017:215
2Ji-Parana742114:714
3Genus741219:513
4Guajara74128:913
5Real Ariquemes732214:611
6Morumbi FC72058:256
7Ariquemes FC71246:165
8Rolim de Moura70163:191
Promotion - Campeonato Rondoniense 2016 (Second stage - Play Offs)