Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guam vs Cambodia

Asia Asia

Asian Cup 2023 Khalifa Sports City Stadium, Isa Town
Our Tip

Match Events

26' Event
Chan V.
Assist: Lim P.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-1, with Cambodia advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Guam
39%
Draws
31%
Cambodia
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Guam carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 39% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • Guam have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Cambodia, who have won 1 of the last 4 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • History favors Cambodia here — 3 wins from the last 4 head-to-heads.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 50%
Over 4.5 Goals 23%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Guam Clean Sheet 10%
Cambodia Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guam Cambodia
Matches Played 34 30
Wins 11 9
Draws 2 5
Losses 21 16
Goals Scored 2.5 1.75
Goals Conceded 2.75 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.75 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 12, 2021 Asian Cup
Cambodia vs Guam
2:1
Oct 9, 2021 Asian Cup
Guam vs Cambodia
0:1
Nov 19, 2013 Friendly International
Cambodia vs Guam
0:2
Apr 6, 2006 AFC Challenge Cup
Cambodia vs Guam
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guam Compare

Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Cambodia Compare

Top Goalscorer Chan V.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guam 29 / 100
Cambodia 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guam Cambodia

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cambodia's defensive record shows goals conceded in 77% of 30 matches.

H2H data points to 2.25 goals as a typical output.

Guam's goal record stands at 59% scoring rate across 34 recent games.

Guam went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guam VS Cambodia
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
2.75 Goals Conceded 1.38
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 75%
75% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guam

(Home)
06 Jun
Myanmar
6 : 1
Guam
03 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Guam
28 Mar
American Samoa
0 : 6
Guam
26 Mar
Puerto Rico
4 : 0
Guam
22 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands
0 : 8
Guam
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Cambodia

(Away)
27 Jul
Indonesia
5 : 1
Cambodia
24 Jul
Cambodia
1 : 2
Singapore
09 Jun
Cambodia
2 : 0
Hong Kong
04 Jun
Cambodia
4 : 0
Bhutan
13 Nov
Hong Kong
1 : 1
Cambodia
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Guam1
Cambodia3
Indonesia5
Chinese Taipei1