Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guam vs Hong Kong

Asia Asia

EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Chan Siu-Kwan P.
12' Event
Benavides N.
50' Event
Camargo E.

AI Match Summary

Hong Kong in this EAFF E-1 Football Championship tie, finishing 0-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%
Guam
22%
Draws
18%
Hong Kong
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Guam

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Hong Kong have won more games recently than Guam.
  • Win probability leans Guam's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Hong Kong arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Hong Kong, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hong Kong have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 69%
Over 4.5 Goals 31%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Guam Clean Sheet 10%
Hong Kong Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guam Hong Kong
Matches Played 29 31
Wins 6 13
Draws 2 7
Losses 21 11
Goals Scored 2 2
Goals Conceded 3.75 1.88
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 3.75 1.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 17, 2024 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Guam vs Hong Kong
0:5
Nov 6, 2016 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Hong Kong vs Guam
3:2
Mar 28, 2015 Friendly International
Hong Kong vs Guam
1:0
Nov 19, 2014 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Hong Kong vs Guam
0:0
Dec 1, 2012 EAFF E-1 Football Championship
Hong Kong vs Guam
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guam Compare

Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1

Hong Kong Compare

Top Goalscorer Chan Siu-Kwan P.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Benavides N.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.82
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guam 56 / 100
Hong Kong 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guam Hong Kong

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Hong Kong conceded in 65% of 31 recent games.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Hong Kong's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Guam found the back of the net in 52% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Guam VS Hong Kong
2 Goals Scored 2
3.75 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
100% Over 2.5 50%
100% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Guam

(Home)
06 Jun
Myanmar
6 : 1
Guam
03 Jun
Philippines
5 : 1
Guam
28 Mar
American Samoa
0 : 6
Guam
26 Mar
Puerto Rico
4 : 0
Guam
22 Dec
Northern Mariana Islands
0 : 8
Guam
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Hong Kong

(Away)
09 Jun
Cambodia
2 : 0
Hong Kong
05 Jun
Hong Kong
2 : 0
Mongolia
31 Mar
India
2 : 1
Hong Kong
03 Jan
Guangdong XI
3 : 2
Hong Kong
28 Dec
Hong Kong
2 : 2
Guangdong XI
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Final
Guam0
Hong Kong5