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Guanacasteca vs Cartagines - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2024/2025 Estadio Chorotega, Nicoya
Our Tip

Match Events

38'
Pereira M.
44'
Ugalde J.
55' Event
Venegas J.

AI Match Summary

The Primera Division 2024/2025 game between Guanacasteca and Cartagines finished 1-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guanacasteca.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Guanacasteca
15%
Draws
85%
Cartagines
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Cartagines

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Cartagines come out ahead of Guanacasteca on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Cartagines's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Primera Division 2024/2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Guanacasteca Clean Sheet 19%
Cartagines Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guanacasteca Cartagines
Matches Played 30 37
Wins 7 18
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.77 1.68
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.08
Expected Goals (xG) 0.97 1.30
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 20, 2025 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Guanacasteca
3:0
Feb 9, 2025 Primera Division
Guanacasteca vs Cartagines
1:0
Sep 28, 2024 Primera Division
Cartagines vs Guanacasteca
1:1
Aug 10, 2024 Primera Division
Guanacasteca vs Cartagines
1:3
Feb 28, 2024 Primera Division
Guanacasteca vs Cartagines
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guanacasteca Compare

Top Goalscorer Venegas J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.75
Avg xA / game 0.48

Cartagines Compare

Avg xG / game 1.18
Avg xA / game 0.72

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guanacasteca 10 / 100
Cartagines 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guanacasteca Cartagines

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Cartagines Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Cartagines has conceded goals in 76% of their last 37 outings.

H2H data points to 2.20 goals as a typical output.

Attacking prowess: Guanacasteca scored in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Cartagines lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

- VS Cartagines
0 Goals Scored 1.5
0 Goals Conceded 0.75
0% Over 1.5 63%
0% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guanacasteca

(Home)
07 May
Guanacasteca
0 : 3
Herediano
04 May
Saprissa
3 : 0
Guanacasteca
26 Apr
Guanacasteca
0 : 3
Sporting FC
20 Apr
Cartagines
3 : 0
Guanacasteca
15 Apr
Zeledon
3 : 0
Guanacasteca
Page 1 of 6

Cartagines

(Away)
21 Sept
San Carlos
1 : 0
Cartagines
17 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 2
Saprissa
14 Sept
Cartagines
3 : 1
Alajuelense
10 Sept
Saprissa
2 : 2
Cartagines
06 Sept
Puntarenas FC
1 : 3
Cartagines
Page 1 of 8

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 22 13 7 2 38:18 46
2 Alajuelense 22 10 12 0 28:12 42
3 Puntarenas FC 22 11 8 3 29:18 41
4 Saprissa 22 11 6 5 30:18 39
5 Cartagines 22 11 5 6 29:16 38
6 Sporting FC 22 9 4 9 25:28 31
7 Liberia 22 7 3 12 26:26 24
8 Santos De Guapiles 22 6 6 10 26:33 24
9 Zeledon 22 6 5 11 16:28 23
10 San Carlos 22 4 7 11 16:23 19
11 Guanacasteca 22 3 7 12 12:33 16
12 Santa Ana 22 2 8 12 22:44 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)