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Guanacasteca vs Santos De Guapiles - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Costa Rica Costa Rica

Primera Division 2024/2025 Estadio Chorotega, Nicoya
Our Tip

Match Events

11'
Aguilar D.
27' Event
Arauz A.
41'
Molina Y.

AI Match Summary

Santos De Guapiles in this Primera Division 2024/2025 matchup, with the score ending 0-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Santos De Guapiles.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

0%
Guanacasteca
20%
Draws
80%
Santos De Guapiles
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Santos De Guapiles

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Guanacasteca haven't matched Santos De Guapiles's recent run of results.
  • Santos De Guapiles are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28%
Guanacasteca Clean Sheet 16%
Santos De Guapiles Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guanacasteca Santos De Guapiles
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 11
Draws 8 7
Losses 15 12
Goals Scored 0.77 1.33
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.37
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 15, 2025 Primera Division
Guanacasteca vs Santos De Guapiles
0:1
Feb 2, 2025 Primera Division
Santos De Guapiles vs Guanacasteca
1:0
Oct 20, 2024 Primera Division
Santos De Guapiles vs Guanacasteca
4:0
Oct 13, 2024 Primera Division
Guanacasteca vs Santos De Guapiles
2:1
Mar 27, 2024 Primera Division
Santos De Guapiles vs Guanacasteca
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guanacasteca Compare

Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Santos De Guapiles Compare

Top Goalscorer Arauz A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guanacasteca 10 / 100
Santos De Guapiles 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guanacasteca Santos De Guapiles

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Santos De Guapiles Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Santos De Guapiles conceded in 67% of 30 recent games.

Games between these two average 1.80 goals.

Guanacasteca's goal record stands at 57% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Santos De Guapiles's recent record shows 2 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Guanacasteca VS Santos De Guapiles
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guanacasteca

(Home)
07 May
Guanacasteca
0 : 3
Herediano
04 May
Saprissa
3 : 0
Guanacasteca
26 Apr
Guanacasteca
0 : 3
Sporting FC
20 Apr
Cartagines
3 : 0
Guanacasteca
15 Apr
Zeledon
3 : 0
Guanacasteca
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Santos De Guapiles

(Away)
07 May
San Carlos
3 : 0
Santos De Guapiles
03 May
Santos De Guapiles
3 : 1
Zeledon
26 Apr
Santa Ana
3 : 3
Santos De Guapiles
19 Apr
Santos De Guapiles
1 : 1
Puntarenas FC
16 Apr
Herediano
2 : 1
Santos De Guapiles
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Herediano 22 13 7 2 38:18 46
2 Alajuelense 22 10 12 0 28:12 42
3 Puntarenas FC 22 11 8 3 29:18 41
4 Saprissa 22 11 6 5 30:18 39
5 Cartagines 22 11 5 6 29:16 38
6 Sporting FC 22 9 4 9 25:28 31
7 Liberia 22 7 3 12 26:26 24
8 Santos De Guapiles 22 6 6 10 26:33 24
9 Zeledon 22 6 5 11 16:28 23
10 San Carlos 22 4 7 11 16:23 19
11 Guanacasteca 22 3 7 12 12:33 16
12 Santa Ana 22 2 8 12 22:44 14
Promotion - Primera Division 2024/2025 (Clausura - Play Offs)