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Guangdong GZ-Power vs Dingnan Ganlian - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League One Huangpu Sports Center, Guangzhou
Sun, Oct 11, 2026
3 - 1
11:30 AM
Our Tip

Match Events

9' Event
Palacios M.
22'
Hao Yucheng
32' Event
Hou Yu
Assist: Joao Carlos

AI Match Summary

Guangdong GZ-Power host Dingnan Ganlian in the League One. Guangdong GZ-Power go into this one as the clear favorite. Dingnan Ganlian have shipped 1.86 goals a game lately, while Guangdong GZ-Power have conceded 0.86 and scored 2.04. Head-to-head, Guangdong GZ-Power have won 1 to Dingnan Ganlian's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Jun 13, 2026, ending 1:3. The numbers (1.20 xG vs 1.00) point toward Guangdong GZ-Power. Home (1) are the model's selection here, or BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

55%
Guangdong GZ-Power
35%
Draws
10%
Dingnan Ganlian
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guangdong GZ-Power

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

55% / Medium Confidence
  • Guangdong GZ-Power have won more games recently than Dingnan Ganlian.
  • Win probability leans Guangdong GZ-Power's way, sitting at 80%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78.6%
Guangdong GZ-Power Clean Sheet 20%
Dingnan Ganlian Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangdong GZ-Power Dingnan Ganlian
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 19 4
Draws 6 13
Losses 3 11
Goals Scored 2.04 1.36
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.86
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 League One
Dingnan Ganlian vs Guangdong GZ-Power
1:3
Jul 27, 2025 League One
Guangdong GZ-Power vs Dingnan Ganlian
0:1
Apr 5, 2025 League One
Dingnan Ganlian vs Guangdong GZ-Power
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangdong GZ-Power Compare

Top Goalscorer Camara O.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Hou Yu
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Dingnan Ganlian Compare

Top Goalscorer Palacios M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangdong GZ-Power 76 / 100
Dingnan Ganlian 11 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangdong GZ-Power Dingnan Ganlian

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangdong GZ-Power Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Dingnan Ganlian's defensive record shows goals conceded in 93% of 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Guangdong GZ-Power stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Guangdong GZ-Power scored in 71% of their last 28 games.

Historical meetings average 2.33 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Guangdong GZ-Power VS Dingnan Ganlian
2.63 Goals Scored 1.25
0.63 Goals Conceded 2.13
100% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guangdong GZ-Power

(Home)
07 Oct
Shenzhen Juniors
1 : 4
Guangdong GZ-Power
18 Sept
Yanbian Longding
1 : 2
Guangdong GZ-Power
12 Sept
Guangdong GZ-Power
1 : 1
Dalian Kun City
05 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
1 : 1
Guangdong GZ-Power
30 Aug
Guangdong GZ-Power
3 : 0
Changchun Yatai
Page 1 of 6

Dingnan Ganlian

(Away)
06 Oct
Dingnan Ganlian
0 : 0
Meizhou Hakka
19 Sept
Dingnan Ganlian
1 : 1
Foshan Nanshi
12 Sept
Changchun Yatai
1 : 0
Dingnan Ganlian
05 Sept
Shaanxi Union
2 : 1
Dingnan Ganlian
29 Aug
Dingnan Ganlian
3 : 4
Suzhou Dongwu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 25 17 6 2 52:21 57
2 Nantong Zhiyun 25 12 9 4 34:20 45
3 Guangxi Hengchen 25 13 6 6 40:27 45
4 Shenzhen Juniors 25 12 8 5 40:29 44
5 Shaanxi Union 25 11 6 8 42:27 39
6 Wuxi Wugou 26 10 6 10 41:31 36
7 Yanbian Longding 25 9 9 7 34:28 36
8 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 26 9 8 9 23:25 35
9 Changchun Yatai 26 10 5 11 39:42 31
10 Dalian Kun City 26 7 9 10 31:38 30
11 Ningbo Professional 25 9 5 11 27:31 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 26 7 10 9 30:35 28
13 Dingnan Ganlian 25 4 12 9 35:46 24
14 Meizhou Hakka 26 7 4 15 25:53 22
15 Nanjing City 25 5 6 14 21:37 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 25 3 7 15 25:49 16
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)