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Guangdong Mingtu vs Chengdu Rongcheng B - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two Guangdong Provincial People's Stadium, Guangzhou
Guangdong Mingtu Logo

Guangdong Mingtu

2 - 0
FT
Chengdu Rongcheng B Logo

Chengdu Rongcheng B

Our Tip

Match Events

10' Event
Gu Zhiwei
Assist: Cai M.
29'
Sub
Zhang Zili In: Shuai Weihao
Out: Zhang Zili
46'
Sub
Yao Zixuan In: Cui Xinglong
Out: Yao Zixuan
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Guangdong Mingtu and Chengdu Rongcheng B finished 2-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guangdong Mingtu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

47%
Guangdong Mingtu
35%
Draws
18%
Chengdu Rongcheng B
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guangdong Mingtu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

47% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Guangdong Mingtu come out ahead of Chengdu Rongcheng B on wins alone.
  • Guangdong Mingtu are the model's pick here, at 50%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 22%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.2%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 68%
Chengdu Rongcheng B Clean Sheet 17%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangdong Mingtu Chengdu Rongcheng B
Matches Played 28 29
Wins 7 6
Draws 13 11
Losses 8 12
Goals Scored 0.93 0.86
Goals Conceded 0.86 1.1
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.69
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 27, 2026 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Chengdu Rongcheng B
2:0
May 4, 2026 League Two
Chengdu Rongcheng B vs Guangdong Mingtu
1:1
Jun 9, 2025 League Two
Chengdu Rongcheng B vs Guangdong Mingtu
2:0
Mar 30, 2025 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Chengdu Rongcheng B
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangdong Mingtu Compare

Top Goalscorer Gu Zhiwei
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Chengdu Rongcheng B Compare

Avg xG / game 0.63
Avg xA / game 0.38

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangdong Mingtu 59 / 100
Chengdu Rongcheng B 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangdong Mingtu Chengdu Rongcheng B

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangdong Mingtu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guangdong Mingtu scored in 64% of their last 28 games.

Chengdu Rongcheng B has conceded goals in 72% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Guangdong Mingtu stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guangdong Mingtu VS Chengdu Rongcheng B
0.75 Goals Scored 1.25
0.13 Goals Conceded 1
25% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Guangdong Mingtu

(Home)
06 Oct
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 1
Dalian Yingbo B
18 Sept
Changchun Xidu
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
12 Sept
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 0
Shanghai Second
23 Aug
Hangzhou Linping
1 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
16 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
3 : 0
Wuhan Three Towns B
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Chengdu Rongcheng B

(Away)
06 Oct
Beijing Technology
2 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng B
19 Sept
Chengdu Rongcheng B
1 : 1
Taian Tiankuang
12 Sept
Nantong Haimen
1 : 1
Chengdu Rongcheng B
23 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng B
0 : 1
Jiangxi Lushan
16 Aug
Guizhou Guiyang
0 : 0
Chengdu Rongcheng B
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)