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Stadium Background

Guangdong Mingtu vs Guangzhou Dandelion

China China

League Two Guangdong Provincial People's Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

6' Event
Shohret R.
Assist: Fan Ruiwei
45'
Zhu Xinyu
46'
Sub
Tian Li In: Abdusemet E.
Out: Tian Li

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Guangdong Mingtu and Guangzhou Dandelion finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guangzhou Dandelion.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Guangdong Mingtu
11%
Draws
9%
Guangzhou Dandelion
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Guangdong Mingtu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Guangzhou Dandelion carry the better recent record into this one.
  • 80% — that's where the model lands on Guangdong Mingtu taking it.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Guangzhou Dandelion have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 75%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.8%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 68%
Guangzhou Dandelion Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangdong Mingtu Guangzhou Dandelion
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 7 10
Draws 10 6
Losses 12 13
Goals Scored 1.13 0.63
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 0.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 League Two
Guangzhou Dandelion vs Guangdong Mingtu
1:2
Apr 14, 2026 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Guangzhou Dandelion
1:2
Jun 22, 2025 League Two
Guangzhou Dandelion vs Guangdong Mingtu
3:0
Apr 8, 2025 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Guangzhou Dandelion
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangdong Mingtu Compare

Top Goalscorer Memet'tursun Merdan
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Guangzhou Dandelion Compare

Top Goalscorer Shohret R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Song X.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.57
Avg xA / game 0.35

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangdong Mingtu 86 / 100
Guangzhou Dandelion 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangdong Mingtu Guangzhou Dandelion

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick GUA Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Guangdong Mingtu found the back of the net in 72% of recent matches (29 games).

Guangzhou Dandelion's defensive record shows goals conceded in 62% of 29 matches.

Guangdong Mingtu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guangdong Mingtu VS Guangzhou Dandelion
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.5
75% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 25%
0% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Shandong Taishan B16102423:1332
2Shanghai Port B1594227:1031
3Dalian Kewei1668213:826
4Shanxi Chongde Ronghai1573520:1424
5Taian Tiankuang1564516:1422
6Dalian Yingbo B1549214:1221
7Qingdao Red Lions1638514:1517
8Nantong Haimen1528516:1614
9Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic142845:1014
10Changchun Xidu152858:1814
11Shanghai Second1626815:2812
12Beijing Technology1416711:249
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Guizhou Guiyang1591522:1328
2Shenzhen 20281676325:2027
3Hubei Istar1575323:1626
4Ganzhou Ruishi1666417:1524
5Xiamen Feilu1566324:1724
6Jiangxi Lushan1573519:1424
7Hangzhou Linping1648416:2320
8Guangzhou Dandelion1654717:2019
9Guangdong Mingtu1638517:1917
10Wenzhou Professional1536610:1715
11Chengdu Rongcheng B1635810:1814
12Wuhan Three Towns B151689:179