Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guangdong Mingtu vs Jiangxi Lushan

China China

League Two Guangdong Provincial People's Stadium, Guangzhou
Our Tip

Match Events

25'
Li Jiahao
30'
Sub
Li Jiahao In: Bai Zijian
Out: Li Jiahao
46'
Sub
Huang Guangliang In: Gu Zhiwei
Out: Huang Guangliang

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Guangdong Mingtu and Jiangxi Lushan finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Guangdong Mingtu
20%
Draws
42%
Jiangxi Lushan
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Jiangxi Lushan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

38% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Jiangxi Lushan come out ahead of Guangdong Mingtu on wins alone.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 27.6%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 68%
Jiangxi Lushan Clean Sheet 14%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangdong Mingtu Jiangxi Lushan
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 7 14
Draws 12 6
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 0.87 1.4
Goals Conceded 0.93 0.87
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2026 League Two
Jiangxi Lushan vs Guangdong Mingtu
0:0
Apr 30, 2026 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Jiangxi Lushan
0:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangdong Mingtu 41 / 100
Jiangxi Lushan 31 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangdong Mingtu Jiangxi Lushan

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangdong Mingtu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guangdong Mingtu found the back of the net in 60% of recent matches (30 games).

Jiangxi Lushan's defensive record shows goals conceded in 60% of 30 matches.

Guangdong Mingtu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Historical meetings average 0.00 goals per match.

Scoring Trends

Guangdong Mingtu VS Jiangxi Lushan
1.13 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Guangdong Mingtu

(Home)
18 Sept
Changchun Xidu
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
12 Sept
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 0
Shanghai Second
23 Aug
Hangzhou Linping
1 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
16 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
3 : 0
Wuhan Three Towns B
09 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
0 : 0
Wenzhou Professional
Page 1 of 6

Jiangxi Lushan

(Away)
18 Sept
Jiangxi Lushan
2 : 1
Shandong Taishan B
12 Sept
Shanghai Port B
1 : 0
Jiangxi Lushan
23 Aug
Chengdu Rongcheng B
0 : 1
Jiangxi Lushan
16 Aug
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 2
Xiamen Feilu
08 Aug
Wuhan Three Towns B
0 : 2
Jiangxi Lushan
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)