Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guangdong Mingtu vs Xiamen Feilu

China China

League Two Guangdong Provincial People's Stadium, Guangzhou
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Zhu Xinyu
Assist: Fang H.
20'
Tan Zhennan
21' Event
Liu Ziming

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Guangdong Mingtu and Xiamen Feilu finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Xiamen Feilu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

37%
Guangdong Mingtu
30%
Draws
33%
Xiamen Feilu
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Guangdong Mingtu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

37% / Low Confidence
  • Xiamen Feilu carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Guangdong Mingtu are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 13%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 20%
Xiamen Feilu Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangdong Mingtu Xiamen Feilu
Matches Played 30 25
Wins 7 8
Draws 12 8
Losses 11 9
Goals Scored 0.87 1.28
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.2
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 0.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 27, 2026 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Xiamen Feilu
1:2
Apr 10, 2026 League Two
Xiamen Feilu vs Guangdong Mingtu
3:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangdong Mingtu Compare

Top Goalscorer Zhu Xinyu
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Xiamen Feilu Compare

Top Goalscorer Liu Ziming
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.51
Avg xA / game 0.31

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangdong Mingtu 67 / 100
Xiamen Feilu 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangdong Mingtu Xiamen Feilu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangdong Mingtu Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Games between these two average 4.50 goals.

Guangdong Mingtu scored in 60% of their last 30 games.

Xiamen Feilu has conceded goals in 64% of their last 25 outings.

Guangdong Mingtu went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guangdong Mingtu VS Xiamen Feilu
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
50% Over 1.5 63%
38% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guangdong Mingtu

(Home)
18 Sept
Changchun Xidu
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
12 Sept
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 0
Shanghai Second
23 Aug
Hangzhou Linping
1 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
16 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
3 : 0
Wuhan Three Towns B
09 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
0 : 0
Wenzhou Professional
Page 1 of 6

Xiamen Feilu

(Away)
19 Sept
Xiamen Feilu
3 : 0
Beijing Technology
13 Sept
Qingdao Red Lions
1 : 0
Xiamen Feilu
23 Aug
Xiamen Feilu
0 : 2
Wenzhou Professional
16 Aug
Jiangxi Lushan
0 : 2
Xiamen Feilu
08 Aug
Xiamen Feilu
0 : 0
Guangzhou Dandelion
Page 1 of 5

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)