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Guangxi Hengchen vs Suzhou Dongwu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League One Guangxi Sports Center, Nanning
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Match Events

25' Event
Mbo N.
Assist: Ardazishvili R.
29'
Ali M.
37' Event
Lapoussin L.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this League One matchup, with the score ending 3-3.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Guangxi Hengchen
20%
Draws
44%
Suzhou Dongwu
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Suzhou Dongwu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

20% / Low Confidence
  • Suzhou Dongwu haven't matched Guangxi Hengchen's recent run of results.
  • Win probability leans Guangxi Hengchen's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular League One form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71%
Guangxi Hengchen Clean Sheet 15%
Suzhou Dongwu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangxi Hengchen Suzhou Dongwu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 9
Draws 6 9
Losses 8 10
Goals Scored 1.61 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.39
Expected Goals (xG) 1.44 1.56
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 22, 2026 League One
Guangxi Hengchen vs Suzhou Dongwu
3:3
Apr 18, 2026 League One
Suzhou Dongwu vs Guangxi Hengchen
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangxi Hengchen Compare

Top Goalscorer Mbo N.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Lapoussin L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.11
Avg xA / game 0.72

Suzhou Dongwu Compare

Top Goalscorer Farley Rosa
2 Goals
Assists Leader Bugiel O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.42
Avg xA / game 0.87

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangxi Hengchen 35 / 100
Suzhou Dongwu 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangxi Hengchen Suzhou Dongwu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.50 goals when they meet.

Guangxi Hengchen scored in 79% of their last 28 games.

Suzhou Dongwu let in goals in 71% of their last 28 matches.

Recent resilience: Guangxi Hengchen stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guangxi Hengchen VS Suzhou Dongwu
1.25 Goals Scored 2.25
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Guangxi Hengchen

(Home)
07 Oct
Foshan Nanshi
1 : 0
Guangxi Hengchen
25 Sept
Wuxi Wugou
0 : 1
Guangxi Hengchen
18 Sept
Nantong Zhiyun
0 : 1
Guangxi Hengchen
12 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
2 : 1
Yanbian Longding
06 Sept
Guangxi Hengchen
0 : 1
Shijiazhuang Gongfu
Page 1 of 6

Suzhou Dongwu

(Away)
06 Oct
Wuxi Wugou
2 : 2
Suzhou Dongwu
19 Sept
Shaanxi Union
2 : 2
Suzhou Dongwu
12 Sept
Suzhou Dongwu
3 : 2
Foshan Nanshi
06 Sept
Suzhou Dongwu
2 : 0
Nanjing City
29 Aug
Dingnan Ganlian
3 : 4
Suzhou Dongwu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guangdong GZ-Power 25 17 6 2 52:21 57
2 Nantong Zhiyun 25 12 9 4 34:20 45
3 Guangxi Hengchen 25 13 6 6 40:27 45
4 Shenzhen Juniors 25 12 8 5 40:29 44
5 Shaanxi Union 25 11 6 8 42:27 39
6 Yanbian Longding 25 9 9 7 34:28 36
7 Shijiazhuang Gongfu 25 9 7 9 23:25 34
8 Wuxi Wugou 25 9 6 10 38:31 33
9 Changchun Yatai 25 10 4 11 38:41 30
10 Ningbo Professional 25 9 5 11 27:31 29
11 Dalian Kun City 25 7 8 10 30:37 29
12 Suzhou Dongwu 25 7 9 9 30:35 27
13 Dingnan Ganlian 25 4 12 9 35:46 24
14 Meizhou Hakka 25 7 4 14 25:50 22
15 Nanjing City 25 5 6 14 21:37 21
16 Foshan Nanshi 25 3 7 15 25:49 16
Promotion - Super League 2027 (Main)
Relegation - League Two 2027 (Main)