Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Guangzhou Dandelion vs Guangdong Mingtu

China China

League Two Zengcheng Stadium, Guangzhou
Guangzhou Dandelion Logo

Guangzhou Dandelion

1 - 2
FT
Guangdong Mingtu Logo

Guangdong Mingtu

Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Wang Tanyou
Assist: Huang Guangliang
14'
Zhang Ran
16'
Diao Jiahao
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Guangzhou Dandelion and Guangdong Mingtu finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guangdong Mingtu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

25%
Guangzhou Dandelion
35%
Draws
40%
Guangdong Mingtu
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Guangdong Mingtu

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

40% / Low Confidence
  • Guangdong Mingtu haven't matched Guangzhou Dandelion's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Guangdong Mingtu a 40% chance of winning this.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
  • Guangzhou Dandelion have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 62.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Guangzhou Dandelion Clean Sheet 17%
Guangdong Mingtu Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangzhou Dandelion Guangdong Mingtu
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 7
Draws 7 12
Losses 14 11
Goals Scored 0.9 0.87
Goals Conceded 1.17 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 0.69 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 4, 2026 League Two
Guangzhou Dandelion vs Guangdong Mingtu
1:2
Apr 14, 2026 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Guangzhou Dandelion
1:2
Jun 22, 2025 League Two
Guangzhou Dandelion vs Guangdong Mingtu
3:0
Apr 8, 2025 League Two
Guangdong Mingtu vs Guangzhou Dandelion
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangzhou Dandelion Compare

Top Goalscorer Lu J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.53
Avg xA / game 0.34

Guangdong Mingtu Compare

Top Goalscorer Wang Tanyou
1 Goals
Assists Leader Fang H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangzhou Dandelion 23 / 100
Guangdong Mingtu 59 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangzhou Dandelion Guangdong Mingtu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guangdong Mingtu Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

These sides typically produce 3.25 goals when they meet.

Guangzhou Dandelion has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Guangzhou Dandelion scored in 57% of their last 30 games.

Defensive concern: Guangdong Mingtu conceded in 57% of 30 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Guangzhou Dandelion VS Guangdong Mingtu
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
1.63 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 50%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guangzhou Dandelion

(Home)
19 Sept
Dalian Yingbo B
1 : 0
Guangzhou Dandelion
13 Sept
Guangzhou Dandelion
1 : 2
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
23 Aug
Guangzhou Dandelion
0 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
16 Aug
Ganzhou Ruishi
1 : 3
Guangzhou Dandelion
08 Aug
Xiamen Feilu
0 : 0
Guangzhou Dandelion
Page 1 of 6

Guangdong Mingtu

(Away)
18 Sept
Changchun Xidu
0 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
12 Sept
Guangdong Mingtu
1 : 0
Shanghai Second
23 Aug
Hangzhou Linping
1 : 0
Guangdong Mingtu
16 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
3 : 0
Wuhan Three Towns B
09 Aug
Guangdong Mingtu
0 : 0
Wenzhou Professional
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)