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Guangzhou Dandelion vs Hubei Istar - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

China China

League Two Zengcheng Stadium, Guangzhou
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Match Events

7' Event
Li B.
Assist: Gao S.
10'
Tang Xin
19' Event
Li B.

AI Match Summary

The League Two game between Guangzhou Dandelion and Hubei Istar finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hubei Istar.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

29%
Guangzhou Dandelion
30%
Draws
41%
Hubei Istar
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hubei Istar

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Guangzhou Dandelion haven't matched Hubei Istar's recent run of results.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Guangzhou Dandelion taking it.
  • Regular League Two form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 44%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Guangzhou Dandelion Clean Sheet 68%
Hubei Istar Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guangzhou Dandelion Hubei Istar
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 12
Draws 8 8
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 0.9 1.24
Goals Conceded 1.21 1.14
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 19, 2026 League Two
Guangzhou Dandelion vs Hubei Istar
2:3
Mar 21, 2026 League Two
Hubei Istar vs Guangzhou Dandelion
1:0
Sep 28, 2025 League Two
Hubei Istar vs Guangzhou Dandelion
0:2
Aug 24, 2025 League Two
Guangzhou Dandelion vs Hubei Istar
1:3
Mar 15, 2025 FA Cup
Guangzhou Dandelion vs Hubei Istar
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Guangzhou Dandelion Compare

Top Goalscorer Li Zhuoxuan
1 Goals
Assists Leader Dilyar Alamas
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Hubei Istar Compare

Top Goalscorer Li B.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guangzhou Dandelion 46 / 100
Hubei Istar 44 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guangzhou Dandelion Hubei Istar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.40 goals per match.

Hubei Istar has conceded goals in 62% of their last 29 outings.

Recent resilience: Guangzhou Dandelion stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Guangzhou Dandelion found the back of the net in 59% of recent matches (29 games).

Scoring Trends

Guangzhou Dandelion VS Hubei Istar
0.75 Goals Scored 0.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 1
50% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Guangzhou Dandelion

(Home)
06 Oct
Changchun Xidu
1 : 1
Guangzhou Dandelion
19 Sept
Dalian Yingbo B
1 : 0
Guangzhou Dandelion
13 Sept
Guangzhou Dandelion
1 : 2
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
23 Aug
Guangzhou Dandelion
0 : 0
Guizhou Guiyang
16 Aug
Ganzhou Ruishi
1 : 3
Guangzhou Dandelion
Page 1 of 6

Hubei Istar

(Away)
06 Oct
Hubei Istar
2 : 0
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
19 Sept
Shanghai Second
0 : 0
Hubei Istar
12 Sept
Hubei Istar
1 : 2
Changchun Xidu
23 Aug
Shenzhen 2028
0 : 1
Hubei Istar
16 Aug
Hubei Istar
0 : 1
Hangzhou Linping
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Shandong Taishan B 22 12 5 5 33:21 41
2 Shanghai Port B 22 12 4 6 36:19 40
3 Shanxi Chongde Ronghai 22 12 4 6 29:17 40
4 Dalian Kewei 22 9 10 3 22:14 37
5 Taian Tiankuang 22 8 7 7 25:23 31
6 Dalian Yingbo B 22 6 10 6 21:22 28
7 Nantong Haimen 22 5 11 6 25:23 26
8 Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 22 4 14 4 13:16 26
9 Qingdao Red Lions 22 5 10 7 22:20 25
10 Changchun Xidu 22 3 11 8 15:28 20
11 Beijing Technology 22 3 7 12 21:42 16
12 Shanghai Second 22 2 9 11 22:39 15
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Guizhou Guiyang 22 13 3 6 32:17 42
2 Shenzhen 2028 22 10 7 5 37:25 37
3 Jiangxi Lushan 22 10 5 7 25:19 35
4 Hangzhou Linping 22 8 10 4 25:28 34
5 Hubei Istar 22 9 7 6 29:23 34
6 Xiamen Feilu 22 7 8 7 29:28 29
7 Guangdong Mingtu 22 5 11 6 22:20 26
8 Ganzhou Ruishi 22 6 8 8 19:32 26
9 Guangzhou Dandelion 22 6 7 9 22:28 25
10 Chengdu Rongcheng B 22 5 7 10 18:24 22
11 Wenzhou Professional 22 4 10 8 15:23 22
12 Wuhan Three Towns B 22 4 7 11 20:26 19
Promotion - League Two (Promotion Group)
Relegation - League Two (Relegation Group)