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Guapore vs Uniao Cacoalense

Brazil Brazil

Rondoniense
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Guapore play Uniao Cacoalense in the Rondoniense. Guapore are favorites here. Recently, Guapore averaged 1.52 goals scored and 0.93 conceded. Uniao Cacoalense averaged 0.68 goals scored and 1.5 conceded. In past meetings, Guapore won 2, Uniao Cacoalense won 2, and they drew 1. Their last match on Feb 14, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Guapore and 0.88 for Uniao Cacoalense. This points to a Guapore double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Guapore
23%
Draws
21%
Uniao Cacoalense
Draw rate projection: 23% Favored: Guapore

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

86% / Very High Confidence
  • Guapore picked up more points recently compared to Uniao Cacoalense.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 0.88 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%
Over 1.5 Goals 65%
Over 2.5 Goals 35%
Over 3.5 Goals 21%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34%
Guapore Clean Sheet 25%
Uniao Cacoalense Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 59%
Second Half Goal 62%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guapore Uniao Cacoalense
Matches Played 44 28
Wins 25 5
Draws 12 6
Losses 7 17
Goals Scored 1.52 0.68
Goals Conceded 0.93 1.5

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 14, 2026 Rondoniense
Uniao Cacoalense vs Guapore
0:2
Jan 21, 2026 Rondoniense
Guapore vs Uniao Cacoalense
2:0
Mar 26, 2023 Rondoniense
Guapore vs Uniao Cacoalense
0:1
May 9, 2021 Rondoniense
Guapore vs Uniao Cacoalense
1:1
Apr 28, 2021 Rondoniense
Uniao Cacoalense vs Guapore
1:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guapore 55 / 100
Uniao Cacoalense 21 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guapore Uniao Cacoalense

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guapore Win (1)
Secondary Pick Guapore & Under 3.5
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +16.5%
2.08
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +20.8%
3.45
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Guapore attacking → ← attacking Uniao Cacoalense

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guapore scored in 77% of their last 44 games.

Uniao Cacoalense let in goals in 64% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 1.60 goals.

Guapore went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Uniao Cacoalense lost 5 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

87 Points in last 5 21
1.13 Goals expected (xG) 0.00
0.75 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Ji-Parana1293023:130
2Porto Velho1283123:1027
3Guapore1264219:1122
4CA Rondoniense1253415:1118
5Barcelona RO1231812:2310
6Genus122378:189
7Uniao Cacoalense1201116:321