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Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC

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Campeonato Tocantinense 2012
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AI Match Summary

The Campeonato Tocantinense 2012 game between Guarai SC and Paraiso EC finished 5-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Guarai SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

13%
Guarai SC
17%
Draws
70%
Paraiso EC
Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: Paraiso EC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

88% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarai SC carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Paraiso EC are the model's pick here, at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 80%).
  • Guarai SC have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 80%
Over 3.5 Goals 77.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 35%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 18%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarai SC Paraiso EC
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 6
Draws 7 8
Losses 12 16
Goals Scored 3.13 1.4
Goals Conceded 1.25 2.2
Expected Goals (xG) 3.13 1.40
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.25 2.20

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 18, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC
4:0
Apr 12, 2015 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Guarai SC
5:1
Mar 7, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC
2:0
Apr 24, 2012 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC
5:1
Mar 11, 2012 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Guarai SC
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarai SC 15 / 100
Paraiso EC 65 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarai SC Paraiso EC

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick PAR Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarai SC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (30 games).

Paraiso EC's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 4.20 goals when they meet.

Recent resilience: Guarai SC stayed unbeaten in 1 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Guarai SC VS Paraiso EC
3.13 Goals Scored 1.4
1.25 Goals Conceded 2.2
100% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 80%
75% Over 3.5 80%