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Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Brazil Brazil

Tocantinense 2
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AI Match Summary

Guarai SC in this Tocantinense 2 matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Guarai SC.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Guarai SC
20%
Draws
0%
Paraiso EC
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Guarai SC

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

80% / Very High Confidence
  • Guarai SC have won more games recently than Paraiso EC.
  • Win probability leans Guarai SC's way, sitting at 90%.
  • Regular Tocantinense 2 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Guarai SC have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 96%
Over 1.5 Goals 85.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 52.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 24%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Guarai SC Clean Sheet 20%
Paraiso EC Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Guarai SC Paraiso EC
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 4
Draws 8 5
Losses 9 20
Goals Scored 2.34 0.62
Goals Conceded 1.45 2.59
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 1.19
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 3, 2026 Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC
4:1
Oct 18, 2025 Tocantinense 2
Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC
4:0
Apr 12, 2015 Tocantinense
Paraiso EC vs Guarai SC
5:1
Mar 7, 2015 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC
2:0
Apr 24, 2012 Tocantinense
Guarai SC vs Paraiso EC
5:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Guarai SC 85 / 100
Paraiso EC 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Guarai SC Paraiso EC

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Guarai SC Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Guarai SC found the back of the net in 83% of recent matches (29 games).

Defensive concern: Paraiso EC conceded in 86% of 29 recent games.

Historical meetings average 4.60 goals per match.

Solid form: Guarai SC remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Guarai SC VS Paraiso EC
0.63 Goals Scored 0.5
1.88 Goals Conceded 4
88% Over 1.5 83%
38% Over 2.5 83%
38% Over 3.5 67%

Recent Form & Match History

Guarai SC

(Home)
03 Oct
Guarai SC
4 : 1
Paraiso EC
26 Sept
Interporto
2 : 2
Guarai SC
19 Sept
Araguaia (TO)
0 : 3
Guarai SC
12 Sept
Guarai SC
2 : 2
Sao Jose (TO)
06 Sept
Uniao de Palmas
0 : 10
Guarai SC
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Paraiso EC

(Away)
03 Oct
Guarai SC
4 : 1
Paraiso EC
26 Sept
Paraiso EC
2 : 3
Araguaia (TO)
19 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 8
Interporto
12 Sept
Paraiso EC
0 : 3
Batalhao
05 Sept
Sao Jose (TO)
6 : 0
Paraiso EC
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sao Jose (TO) 5 4 1 0 21:4 13
2 Interporto 5 4 1 0 15:3 13
3 Guarai SC 5 3 2 0 21:5 11
4 Batalhao 5 3 0 2 18:3 9
5 Araguaia (TO) 5 3 0 2 12:9 9
6 Taquarussu 5 1 0 4 2:18 3
7 Paraiso EC 5 0 0 5 3:24 0
8 Uniao de Palmas 5 0 0 5 1:27 0
Promotion - Tocantinense 2 (Play Offs)